{"id":9498,"date":"2016-11-03T21:54:02","date_gmt":"2016-11-04T01:54:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/digital.hbs.edu\/platform-rctom\/submission\/coned-adapting-to-new-regulatory-physical-environments\/"},"modified":"2016-11-04T13:05:55","modified_gmt":"2016-11-04T17:05:55","slug":"coned-adapting-to-new-regulatory-physical-environments","status":"publish","type":"hck-submission","link":"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/submission\/coned-adapting-to-new-regulatory-physical-environments\/","title":{"rendered":"ConEd: Adapting to New Regulatory &amp; Physical Environments"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>On October 29, 2012, a transformer at Consolidated Edison\u2019s (NYSE:ED; \u201cConEd\u201d) power plant in Manhattan\u2019s East Village exploded when the water surge from Superstorm Sandy flooded the facility. The explosion caused a blackout throughout lower Manhattan, with some areas remaining without power for over a week. All in all, Superstorm Sandy interrupted service to 1.4 million ConEd customers and cost the utility nearly $600 million in response and restoration<sup>1<\/sup>. In the aftermath, ConEd pledged to invest $1 billion of \u201cstorm-hardening\u201d funds over 4 years to reinforce its energy delivery systems and reached an agreement with the New York State Public Service Commission (NYSPSC) to take climate change into account during operational and capital planning<sup>2<\/sup>.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_9473\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-9473\" style=\"width: 219px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2016\/11\/sandy121105_intro_560.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-9473 size-medium\" src=\"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2016\/11\/sandy121105_intro_560-219x300.jpg\" alt=\"New York after Superstorm Sandy. Source: NYMag\" width=\"219\" height=\"300\" srcset=\"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2016\/11\/sandy121105_intro_560-219x300.jpg 219w, https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2016\/11\/sandy121105_intro_560-438x600.jpg 438w, https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2016\/11\/sandy121105_intro_560.jpg 560w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 219px) 100vw, 219px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-9473\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Exhibit 1: New York after Superstorm Sandy. Source: NYMag<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Public utilities like ConEd face increasing pressure to reduce the impact of climate change on their businesses (and vice versa) and conform to new environmental regulations. These impacts and regulations have substantial implications for ConEd\u2019s business.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Physical Impacts of Climate Change<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Climate change\u2019s environmental impacts have significant repercussions for ConEd:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Significant investments in restoration and recovery.<\/strong> There is scientific consensus that rising global temperatures will cause changing weather patterns and increasingly extreme weather events. Like Superstorm Sandy, these weather events could erode ConEd\u2019s infrastructure and force it to invest significant amounts of capital to fix and maintain its energy delivery systems.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Increased operational uncertainty.<\/strong> As weather becomes more volatile, consumer energy demand could become harder to forecast. Utilities rely on accurate energy consumption forecasts to plan their power purchasing and operating activities, and uncertainty in forecasts could cause ConEd to build in additional buffers that may prove to be operationally and financially costly (e.g., store more electricity than is needed). Moreover, as temperatures become more extreme, energy demand could increase significantly and require additional operational and capital investments in energy-generating assets.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Increased financial uncertainty<\/strong>. Utilities also often use demand forecasts to inform their power purchasing behavior and hedge energy price exposure (e.g., through financial securities like futures contracts). Studies estimate that better demand forecasts could result in tens of millions of dollars in savings per year; on the other hand, poorer forecasts could result in significantly increasing costs.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Regulatory Impacts<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>As a utility, ConEd is subject to significant regulations on both the state and federal level. In recent years and relative to the federal government, New York State has taken strong steps toward curbing climate change through the use of regulation. A sampling of recent regulations include:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>In August 2016, the NYSPSC approved the Clean Energy Standard, which mandates that 50% of New York\u2019s energy come from renewable sources by 2030. In particular, the standard forces utilities to have an aggressive phase-in schedule, with 26.31% in renewable sources in 2017 growing to 30.54% in 2021.<sup>3<\/sup><\/li>\n<li>In May 2016, the NYSPSC approved a restructuring of utility regulations to place greater emphasis on clean energy. In particular, these regulations incentivize utilities to develop distributed clean energy resources like solar, geothermal, and wind by providing financial rewards for investments in clean alternatives that show a tangible consumer benefit.<sup>4<\/sup><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The current regulatory climate makes it highly costly for ConEd to ignore clean energy alternatives, but also financially rewarding if it can successfully replace old energy sources with new renewable ones.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Path Forward<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>ConEd has made significant investments to mitigate the physical impacts of climate change and conform to applicable regulations. Going forward, ConEd should continue deploying capital across four primary avenues.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Fortify and upgrade infrastructure<\/strong>. In 2015, ConEd invested $2.6 billion to upgrade or reinforce its existing energy delivery systems and is expected to invest over $3.2 billion toward this effort in 2016<sup>5<\/sup>. Continuing to deploy capital in a preventive and intelligent way can reduce the costs of severe weather events down the road.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Invest in smart technologies<\/strong>. Technologies like smart meters allow ConEd to predict when issues may arise with consumers and help them address issues before they occur. Increasing adoption of these technologies can help ConEd better predict demand patterns and efficiently allocate energy to the right areas in real time. To build these capabilities, ConEd should concurrently invest in analytics technologies (e.g., IBM, SAS) that allow it to sift through live data to glean additional operational insights.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Invest in clean energy alternatives<\/strong>. In the long run, the best way for ConEd to mitigate the physical impacts of climate change and conform with regulations is to encourage the development of viable clean energy alternatives. ConEd should consider principal investments in companies that are developing clean energy infrastructure, and should also consider sponsoring renewable energy research (e.g., grants or awards).<\/li>\n<li><strong>Offer incentives for energy saving behavior<\/strong>. By offering consumers incentives (e.g., discounts) for energy-efficient behavior, ConEd can reduce emissions and usage of non-clean energy sources. Furthermore, setting targets for consumers allows ConEd to influence end market demand, thus making it potentially more predictable.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>(794 words)<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2016\/11\/ConEd1.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-9495\" src=\"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2016\/11\/ConEd1-300x170.jpg\" alt=\"coned1\" width=\"300\" height=\"170\" srcset=\"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2016\/11\/ConEd1-300x170.jpg 300w, https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2016\/11\/ConEd1-768x435.jpg 768w, https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2016\/11\/ConEd1-600x340.jpg 600w, https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2016\/11\/ConEd1.jpg 883w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_9494\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-9494\" style=\"width: 300px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2016\/11\/ConEd2.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-9494\" src=\"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2016\/11\/ConEd2-300x207.jpg\" alt=\"Figure 2: ConEd greenhouse gas emissions trend. Source: ConEd 2015 Sustainability Report\" width=\"300\" height=\"207\" srcset=\"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2016\/11\/ConEd2-300x207.jpg 300w, https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2016\/11\/ConEd2-600x415.jpg 600w, https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2016\/11\/ConEd2.jpg 742w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-9494\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Figure 2: ConEd greenhouse gas emissions trend. Source: ConEd 2015 Sustainability Report<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>[1] Con Edison: &#8211; Investor Relations &#8211; Annual Reports. 2016. Con Edison: &#8211; Investor Relations &#8211; Annual Reports. [ONLINE] Available at: <a href=\"http:\/\/investor.conedison.com\/phoenix.zhtml?c=61493&amp;p=irol-reportsannual\">http:\/\/investor.conedison.com\/phoenix.zhtml?c=61493&amp;p=irol-reportsannual<\/a>. [Accessed 03 November 2016].<\/p>\n<p>[2] <em>Con Ed Agrees to Climate Change Plan.<\/em> 2016. [ONLINE] Available at: <a href=\"http:\/\/blogs.ei.columbia.edu\/2014\/02\/24\/con-ed-agrees-to-climate-change-plan\/\">http:\/\/blogs.ei.columbia.edu\/2014\/02\/24\/con-ed-agrees-to-climate-change-plan\/<\/a>. [Accessed 03 November 2016].<\/p>\n<p>[3] Governor Andrew M. Cuomo. 2016. <em>Governor Cuomo Announces Establishment of Clean Energy Standard that Mandates 50 Percent Renewables by 2030.<\/em> [ONLINE] Available at: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.governor.ny.gov\/news\/governor-cuomo-announces-establishment-clean-energy-standard-mandates-50-percent-renewables\">https:\/\/www.governor.ny.gov\/news\/governor-cuomo-announces-establishment-clean-energy-standard-mandates-50-percent-renewables<\/a>. [Accessed 03 November 2016].<\/p>\n<p>[4] <em><a href=\"\/www3.dps.ny.gov\/pscweb\/WebFileRoom.nsf\/Web\/9B4FB5513905CB5985257FB8006DAD48\/$File\/pr16028.pdf?OpenElement\">Public Service Commission Approves Restructuring of Utility Regulations to Combat Climate Change &amp; Achieve Nation-Leading Clean Energy Goals. https:\/\/www3.dps.ny.gov\/pscweb\/WebFileRoom.nsf\/Web\/9B4FB5513905CB5985257FB8006DAD48\/$File\/pr16028.pdf?OpenElement<\/a><\/em>. [Accessed 03 November 2016].<\/p>\n<p>[5] Con Edison: &#8211; Investor Relations &#8211; Annual Reports. 2016. Con Edison: &#8211; Investor Relations &#8211; Annual Reports. [ONLINE] Available at: <a href=\"http:\/\/investor.conedison.com\/phoenix.zhtml?c=61493&amp;p=irol-reportsannual\">http:\/\/investor.conedison.com\/phoenix.zhtml?c=61493&amp;p=irol-reportsannual<\/a>. [Accessed 03 November 2016].<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>How one of the country&#039;s largest utilities is coping with the physical and regulatory challenges of climate change.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2459,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","template":"","categories":[955,26,1218,1226,1240],"class_list":["post-9498","hck-submission","type-hck-submission","status-publish","hentry","category-alternative-energy","category-clean-energy","category-climate-change","category-global-warming","category-utilities"],"connected_submission_link":"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/assignment\/climate-change-challenge-2016\/","yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>ConEd: Adapting to New Regulatory &amp; Physical Environments - Technology and Operations Management<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/submission\/coned-adapting-to-new-regulatory-physical-environments\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"ConEd: Adapting to New Regulatory &amp; 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