{"id":8583,"date":"2016-11-03T16:44:02","date_gmt":"2016-11-03T20:44:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/digital.hbs.edu\/platform-rctom\/submission\/starbucks-coffee-nightmare-will-future-mornings-be-deprived-of-our-favorite-drink\/"},"modified":"2016-11-03T16:58:03","modified_gmt":"2016-11-03T20:58:03","slug":"starbucks-coffee-nightmare-will-future-mornings-be-deprived-of-our-favorite-drink","status":"publish","type":"hck-submission","link":"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/submission\/starbucks-coffee-nightmare-will-future-mornings-be-deprived-of-our-favorite-drink\/","title":{"rendered":"Starbucks Coffee Nightmare: Will future mornings be deprived of our favorite drink?"},"content":{"rendered":"

 <\/p>\n

\u201cAs long as there is coffee in the world, how bad could things be?\u201d\u2015 Cassandra Clare<\/strong>, City of Ashes<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong>But, how long will this hold true?<\/p>\n

Background and forthcoming challenge<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

Coffee drinking is one of the most prevalent contemporary habits: more than 400 million cups of coffee are consumed daily <\/strong>in the US only! As more and more people drink coffee across the globe, coffee bean requirements increase each year, yet producers fail to keep up. On the raw material side, coffee drinks are essentially roasted, crushed and brewed coffee beans. The latter are produced in areas around the equator and the key varieties are Arabica \u2013 75% of production (a), Robusta \u2013 25% of production (r), while some areas produce a mixture of the two (m).<\/p>\n

\"map\"<\/p>\n

Climate change has imposed a serious threat in the production of coffee. Both the increase in the average temperature globally and the shift of the raining seasons destroy larger and larger parts of the farmers\u2019 yields and create favorable conditions for pests and plant diseases. For instance, Brazil and Central America currently used to grow the most popular type of coffee, Arabica, will be unsuitable to the crop by 2050 (International Center for Tropical Agriculture). Globally a 50% decline is predicted over the same period. The most likely outcome would be a drop in quantity and a rise in prices.<\/p>\n

This is becoming evident, with the gap between the decreasing production and the increasing consumption has turned negative in the past years, resulting in a ~3.3 million 60kg coffee bean bags deficit. The trend is exacerbating; low sophistication farmers are faced with the unprecedented climate change impact and have no means or knowledge on how to protect their crops.<\/p>\n

\"chart-1\"<\/p>\n

Starbucks: from small shop to empire to crisis<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

In its almost 40 years of existence, Starbucks has become the largest global coffee seller and boasts presence in more than 60 countries with a network of ~22,000 stores and a sky-high brand awareness. Throughout the company\u2019s life, best quality coffee produced and brewed with sustainable methods has been a core priority. Thus, the company established detailed quality processes and criteria to make a coffee bean \u201cStarbucks-level\u201d and conducted extensive trainings to the selected farmers.<\/p>\n

Climate change is however threatening the company\u2019s core product and operating model, forecasting a doubtful future for our favorite latte and our relaxation spot in the coffee shop next corner. On one hand, higher temperatures destroy the overall yield and hamper, even further, the availability of \u201cStarbucks-level\u201d coffee beans, which results in lower supply for higher prices. On the other hand, new, stricter regulations have forced Starbucks stores and plant to reconsider their environmental footprint, in terms of energy consumption and emissions.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

What is Starbucks doing?<\/strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\"farm\"<\/p>\n

Leveraging its consistent profitability and CSR-focused image, Starbucks has heavily invested to counter the aforementioned threats.\u00a0On climate change, Starbucks focused more on maintaining consistent production levels in terms of quantity and quality:<\/p>\n