  {"id":8106,"date":"2016-11-02T17:38:03","date_gmt":"2016-11-02T21:38:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/digital.hbs.edu\/platform-rctom\/submission\/uncontrollable-pollution-source\/"},"modified":"2016-11-02T17:38:03","modified_gmt":"2016-11-02T21:38:03","slug":"uncontrollable-pollution-source","status":"publish","type":"hck-submission","link":"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/submission\/uncontrollable-pollution-source\/","title":{"rendered":"Uncontrollable Pollution Source?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>UPS is the world\u2019s largest package delivery provider<a href=\"#_ftn1\" name=\"_ftnref1\">[1]<\/a>. The operation has a scale beyond imagination: it delivered 4.7 billion packages in 2015 alone. It has a dedicated air-cargo fleet that covers almost 2000 daily flights, a ground delivery fleet of 110,000 vehicles, and it is present in 220 countries<a href=\"#_ftn2\" name=\"_ftnref2\">[2]<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>It is widely known that the transportation &amp; logistics sector is a major source of global pollution, accounting for about 14% of all anthropogenic greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions<a href=\"#_ftn3\" name=\"_ftnref3\">[3]<\/a>. What is probably not widely known, however, is that UPS has the 2<sup>nd<\/sup> largest GHG footprint sector<a href=\"#_ftn4\" name=\"_ftnref4\">[4]<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><strong>The perfect storm<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Climate change poses a major threat to UPS. The biggest one is the reduction of net income that the company faces in the wake of existing and potential regulation. Taxes, or other schemes to disincentivize use of fossil fuels, will result in increased prices of this resource.<a href=\"#_ftn5\" name=\"_ftnref5\">[5]<\/a> Moreover, regulation is also in the works to reduce operating emissions of logistic companies both in the US<a href=\"#_ftn6\" name=\"_ftnref6\">[6]<\/a>, and internationally<a href=\"#_ftn7\" name=\"_ftnref7\">[7]<\/a>. This will result in higher delivery costs, which will translate to higher prices and lower demand for services.<\/p>\n<p>A second, and less obvious threat, is the impact of warmer weather. Higher temperatures affect the <a href=\"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2016\/11\/Flood.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-8103 alignright\" src=\"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2016\/11\/Flood-300x225.jpg\" alt=\"flood\" width=\"300\" height=\"225\" srcset=\"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2016\/11\/Flood-300x225.jpg 300w, https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2016\/11\/Flood-600x450.jpg 600w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a>operational performance of the air-fleet, since\u00a0aircraft payload is reduced with higher temperatures. Moreover, warm weather can result in the buckling of roads, railways and bridges &#8211; infrastructure critical for delivery operations.<a href=\"#_ftn8\" name=\"_ftnref8\">[8]<\/a> Last, droughts will also increase, resulting in a higher price of the biofuels on which the company is partly relying on to offset its GHG footprint.<\/p>\n<p>And it\u2019s not just temperature. The increase in violent weather phenomena poses a major operational threat (and cost) to the company. Storms may prevent aircraft from operating, potentially forcing a temporary shutdown of a major distribution center, with disruption cascading across all the value chain. Also, sea-level rise and flooding may result in road closures and inaccessibility of cities, delaying deliveries or even rendering them impossible, while also damaging infrastructure and vehicles.<a href=\"#_ftn9\" name=\"_ftnref9\">[9]<\/a> <a href=\"#_ftn10\" name=\"_ftnref10\">[10]<\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>An umbrella, at least<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Sustainability appears to be a core issue on UPS\u2019s agenda, as evidenced by its sustainability governance. The company has an overall plan to reduce carbon emissions 20% by 2020 vs its 2007 baseline, and it had already achieved 14.5% as of 2015. There are two main areas on which the company is working to achieve this goal.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2016\/11\/Trike.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-8104 alignleft\" src=\"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2016\/11\/Trike-300x232.jpg\" alt=\"trike\" width=\"300\" height=\"232\" srcset=\"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2016\/11\/Trike-300x232.jpg 300w, https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2016\/11\/Trike-768x593.jpg 768w, https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2016\/11\/Trike-600x463.jpg 600w, https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2016\/11\/Trike.jpg 960w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a>First, is increased fleet efficiency. The company is rolling out ground vehicles that make use of alternative energy. The spectrum is wide, and includes trucks that use LNG or renewable diesel, hybrids, and purely electric vehicles<a href=\"#_ftn11\" name=\"_ftnref11\">[11]<\/a>. An interesting example is the electrically-assisted tricycle being tried out in Hamburg<a href=\"#_ftn12\" name=\"_ftnref12\">[12]<\/a>\u00a0(see left). Additionally, the company is working to improve the fuel efficiency of its aircraft. Efforts include retrofits to the current fleet, such as the installation of winglets, and the incorporation of new, more fuel-efficient aircraft. Just this week, the company announced an order for 14 Boeing 747-800\u2019s which is 16% more fuel efficient than the previous version.<a href=\"#_ftn13\" name=\"_ftnref13\">[13]<\/a> <a href=\"#_ftn14\" name=\"_ftnref14\">[14]<\/a> UPS is also venturing further into technology, trialing Drone Deliveries.<\/p>\n<p>Second, the company is improving its operating efficiency, reducing the number of vehicle-miles required to deliver a package. Chief amongst the initiatives is \u201cOrion\u201d, a proprietary software that optimizes route design for trucks, and will reduce 100 million truck-miles annually. The efforts are not limited to the ground \u2013 more accurate flight planning is allowing more direct flight paths and lower separation between aircraft, both of which result in fuel savings.<\/p>\n<p><strong>But\u2026 is it enough?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>While the company\u2019s efforts are commendable, there is room for improvement. The company\u2019s goal seems small when compared for example with the EU\u2019s goals of 40% reduction vs 1990 baseline by 2030<a href=\"#_ftn15\" name=\"_ftnref15\">[15]<\/a>. There are many efforts that the company is leaving off <a href=\"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2016\/11\/Solar.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-8105 alignright\" src=\"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2016\/11\/Solar.jpg\" alt=\"solar\" width=\"275\" height=\"183\" \/><\/a>the table, like the use of alternative fuels in aviation, which it has not yet done mainly due to concerns of availability and price.<\/p>\n<p>On a bigger scheme, all attempts described before are incremental, when the world needs step changes. A\u00a0leader\u00a0like UPS should make a stronger attempt to leverage new technologies to drive that change. For example, why not increase drone delivery tests? Why not invest to develop solar-powered planes for transportation?<\/p>\n<p>But wait\u2026 it&#8217;s not just UPS. You and I can also make a difference! UPS claims that next-day deliveries have a higher GHG footprint because they are less efficient. Maybe the next time you place an order you can choose for 5-day ground, help the environment, and save a few dollars\u2026 they\u2019ll come in handy next year!<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Word Count (752)<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#_ftnref1\" name=\"_ftn1\">[1]<\/a> United Parcel Service, 2015 Corporate Sustainability Report (Atlanta, GA: UPS, 2015) p. 8.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#_ftnref2\" name=\"_ftn2\">[2]<\/a> United Parcel Service, 2015 Annual Report (Atlanta, GA: UPS, 2015) p. 1.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#_ftnref3\" name=\"_ftn3\">[3]<\/a> International Panel on Climate Change, <em>Climate Change 2014 Synthesis Report<\/em> (Geneva, Switzerland: IPCC, 2014) p. 47.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#_ftnref4\" name=\"_ftn4\">[4]<\/a> John Moorhead, Tim Nixon, <em>Global 500 Greenhouse Gases Performance 2010-2015 \u2013 2016 Report on Trends<\/em>, Thomson Reuters White Paper, 2016, p. 10.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#_ftnref5\" name=\"_ftn5\">[5]<\/a> United Nations Environmental Programme, <em>GEO-5 for Business \u2013 Impacts of a Changing Environment on the Corporate Sector<\/em>, (Nairobi, Kenya: UNEP, 2013) p. 42.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#_ftnref6\" name=\"_ftn6\">[6]<\/a> Jad Mouawad, Coral Davenport, <em>E.P.A. Takes Step to Cut Emissions From Planes<\/em>, New York Times, June 10, 2015 [<a href=\"http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2015\/06\/11\/business\/energy-environment\/epa-says-it-will-set-rules-for-airplane-emissions.html?_r=0\">http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2015\/06\/11\/business\/energy-environment\/epa-says-it-will-set-rules-for-airplane-emissions.html?_r=0<\/a>], accessed November 2, 2016.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#_ftnref7\" name=\"_ftn7\">[7]<\/a> M.R., <em>Airlines are to cough-up for cross border flight pollution<\/em>, The Economist, October 10, 2016 [<a href=\"http:\/\/www.economist.com\/blogs\/gulliver\/2016\/10\/clearing-air\">http:\/\/www.economist.com\/blogs\/gulliver\/2016\/10\/clearing-air<\/a>], accessed November 1, 2016.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#_ftnref8\" name=\"_ftn8\">[8]<\/a> D. Jaroszweski et al, <em>Assessing the potential impact of climate change on transportation: the need for an interdisciplinary approach<\/em>, Journal of Transport Geography 18 (2010) 331\u2013335, via Google Scholar, accessed October 31, 2016.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#_ftnref9\" name=\"_ftn9\">[9]<\/a> M.J. Koetse, P. Rietveld, <em>The impact of climate change and weather on transport: An overview of empirical findings,<\/em> Transportation Research Part D 14 (2009) p. 205\u2013221, via Google Scholar, accessed October 31, 2016.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#_ftnref10\" name=\"_ftn10\">[10]<\/a> G. Lovea et al<em>, Climate Change, Climate Variability and Transportation,<\/em> Procedia Environmental Sciences 1 (2010) 130\u2013145, via Google Scholar, accessed October 31, 2016.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#_ftnref11\" name=\"_ftn11\">[11]<\/a> Cathy Proctor, <em>Loveland\u2019s cleantech Lightning Hybrids on a roll with orders from UPS, others, <\/em>Denver Business Journal, October 31, 2016, via Factiva, accessed on October 31, 2016.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#_ftnref12\" name=\"_ftn12\">[12]<\/a> Joann Muller, <em>UPS Is Conducting A Vast Rolling Lab Experiment To Create The Clean Truck Of The Future<\/em>, Forbes.com, September 30, 2016 [<a href=\"http:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/joannmuller\/2016\/09\/30\/ups-employs-vast-rolling-laboratory-to-discover-clean-truck-of-the-future\/#1b0a6a3a1f31\">http:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/joannmuller\/2016\/09\/30\/ups-employs-vast-rolling-laboratory-to-discover-clean-truck-of-the-future\/#1b0a6a3a1f31<\/a>], accessed November 2, 2016<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#_ftnref13\" name=\"_ftn13\">[13]<\/a> Linda Blachly, <em>UPS orders up to 28 Boeing 747-8 freighters<\/em>, Air Transport World, October 31, 2016, via Google Scholar, accessed October 31, 2016.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#_ftnref14\" name=\"_ftn14\">[14]<\/a> Boeing Company Website, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.boeing.com\/commercial\/747\/#\/design-highlights\/economy-performance\/profitability\/lower-fuel-cost\/\">http:\/\/www.boeing.com\/commercial\/747\/#\/design-highlights\/economy-performance\/profitability\/lower-fuel-cost\/<\/a>, accessed October 31, 2016.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#_ftnref15\" name=\"_ftn15\">[15]<\/a> European Comission Climate Action Website, <a href=\"http:\/\/ec.europa.eu\/clima\/policies\/strategies\/2030\/index_en.htm\">http:\/\/ec.europa.eu\/clima\/policies\/strategies\/2030\/index_en.htm<\/a>, accessed November 1, 2016.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>UPS is one of the largest contributors of greenhouse gas emissions in the transportation sector, and one of the companies likely to see its operations affected the most by the effects of climate change. What is it doing? 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