  {"id":36454,"date":"2018-11-13T19:56:43","date_gmt":"2018-11-14T00:56:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/digital.hbs.edu\/platform-rctom\/submission\/machine-learning-vs-poachers\/"},"modified":"2018-11-13T19:56:43","modified_gmt":"2018-11-14T00:56:43","slug":"machine-learning-vs-poachers","status":"publish","type":"hck-submission","link":"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/submission\/machine-learning-vs-poachers\/","title":{"rendered":"Machine Learning vs Poachers"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Is wildlife conservation important?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The wildlife of our planet is endangered. But why do we care? The preservation of wildlife costs us millions of dollars, while there are many other problems of humankind that require immediate support such as fighting hunger or poverty.<\/p>\n<p>One reason is that we want to: \u201cmany of us love the natural world. We think animals are cute, majestic, or just plain fascinating\u201d<sup>[1]<\/sup>.<\/p>\n<p>Figure 1: Young elephant is playing<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2018\/11\/Elephant.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-36204\" src=\"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2018\/11\/Elephant-1024x576.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" srcset=\"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2018\/11\/Elephant-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2018\/11\/Elephant-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2018\/11\/Elephant-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2018\/11\/Elephant-600x338.jpg 600w, https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2018\/11\/Elephant.jpg 1280w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The wildlife is something we inherited and responsible for. Moreover, the decrease in the variety of spices has a direct negative impact on natural ecosystems and local economies<sup>[2]<\/sup>.<\/p>\n<p>Poaching is one of the most significant threats to wildlife. \u201cEvery day in Africa nearly 100 elephants are killed for their ivory\u201d<sup>[3]<\/sup>. The global tiger population has dropped over 95% from the start of the 1900s and has resulted in three out of nine species extinctions<sup>[4]<\/sup>.<\/p>\n<p>Exhibit 1: Wildlife population is in decline<sup>[5]<\/sup><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2018\/11\/Population-decline.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-36223\" src=\"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2018\/11\/Population-decline.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"851\" height=\"233\" srcset=\"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2018\/11\/Population-decline.jpg 851w, https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2018\/11\/Population-decline-300x82.jpg 300w, https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2018\/11\/Population-decline-768x210.jpg 768w, https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2018\/11\/Population-decline-600x164.jpg 600w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 851px) 100vw, 851px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Poaching also provides significant profits to terrorist organizations, \u201cwhich are which are attracted to wildlife trafficking because of its low risk of detection, high profits, and weak penalties\u201d<sup>[6]<\/sup>.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Predicting poaching behavior<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Fighting against poaching is not easy. A population of animals is spread across huge area making patrolling very difficult. For example, Uganda Queen Elizabeth National Park, a home of 5,000 elephants, is spread across 763 sq miles<sup>[7]<\/sup>. To protect animals on such vast territory \u201cUganda Wildlife Authority uses 50 to 90 percent of its budget on ranger patrols\u201d<sup>[8]<\/sup>.<\/p>\n<p>In 2013 researchers from the University of South California (USC) in collaboration with Uganda Wildlife Authority (UWA) developed PAWS (Protection Assistant for Wildlife Security), an AI algorithm which analyses historical information on previous poaching activities and designs the most effective routes for patrolling by trying to predict where the next poaching activity will happen. The AI algorithm every time develops new routes for patrolling units to prevent poachers from predicting patrol&#8217;s activity<sup>[9]<\/sup>.<\/p>\n<p>Exhibit 2: PAWS Overview<sup>[10]<\/sup><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2018\/11\/PAWS-Overview.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-36228\" src=\"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2018\/11\/PAWS-Overview.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"655\" height=\"482\" srcset=\"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2018\/11\/PAWS-Overview.jpg 655w, https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2018\/11\/PAWS-Overview-300x221.jpg 300w, https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2018\/11\/PAWS-Overview-600x442.jpg 600w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 655px) 100vw, 655px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>As in other AI platforms, improvement of the PAWS machine learnings algorithms relies on large data available to analyze. Before the launch of the program, the wildlife data from UWA collected by rangers over 12 years from 2003 to 2014 were analyzed<sup>[2]<\/sup>. When patrollers execute the patrol strategy generated by PAWS over a period, more information is collected and become part of the input in the next round<sup>[10]<\/sup>. After an initial launch in Uganda, in 2014 PAWS was rolled out in Malaysia to further increase the amount of data available for analysis and test adaptability of PAWS in other geographical zones<sup>[11]<\/sup>.<\/p>\n<p>Currently, the project team is working on:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Incorporation of complex topographic features in the algorithm to make route planning more effective.<\/li>\n<li>Geographic expansion. The PAWS team considers rolling out the project in the Northen China and Cambodia.<\/li>\n<li>Integration of the project with other tech wildlife conservation initiatives. For example, PAWS is being integrated with Air Shepherd, a service which uses drones equipped with infrared cameras to search for poachers at night<sup>[11]<\/sup>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Larger PAWS needed<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>In my opinion short-term the project team needs to focus on improving the predictability of the model, which can be done by <em>deriving larger sets of data<\/em>. One way to do so is to share learnings and data with other wildlife conservation organizations, such as The World Wildlife Fund or The Nature Conservancy.<\/p>\n<p>Additionally, short-term the team needs to make <em>PAWS easily scalable.<\/em> Since 2013 the project team has rolled out PAWS in two countries only: Uganda and Malaysia. Low speed of expansion significantly limits the positive impact on wildlife conservation that the project can deliver. To speed up the roll out the PAWS project team should learn how to quickly optimize the algorithm for different terrain conditions, as well as design easy-to-understand interface to make transferring PAWS management to local patrol teams as smooth as possible.<\/p>\n<p>Medium-term the project team should <em>increase awareness of the impact<\/em> that technology can bring in wildlife conservation. The success of the PAWS project should be highly publicized and, as a result, motivate tech companies and research labs engage in other wildlife conservation initiatives.<\/p>\n<p>Technology is becoming increasingly important to help to protect animals. However, poachers as well have access to technology. How can we be ahead of them? What other recent technology developments can we use to protect wildlife? How a person who cares can help animals survive?<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>(719 words)<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>[1] \u201cWhat if the point of saving endangered spieces?\u201c BBC, July 2015. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bbc.com\/earth\/story\/20150715-why-save-an-endangered-species\">http:\/\/www.bbc.com\/earth\/story\/20150715-why-save-an-endangered-species<\/a><\/p>\n<p>[2] \u201cCAPTURE: A New Predictive Anti-Poaching Tool for Wildlife Protection\u201d. Thanh H. Nguyen, Arunesh Sinh. University of Southern California, USA, Wildlife Conservation Society, USA, Microsoft Research, Uganda Wildlife Authority, Uganda. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ifaamas.org\/Proceedings\/aamas2016\/pdfs\/p767.pdf\">http:\/\/www.ifaamas.org\/Proceedings\/aamas2016\/pdfs\/p767.pdf<\/a><\/p>\n<p>[3] \u201cWildlife poaching has a huge impact on Africa, but our leaders are silent\u201d. The Guardian. December 2014. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/global-development-professionals-network\/2014\/dec\/23\/wildlife-poaching-africa-elephants-illegal-ivory\">https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/global-development-professionals-network\/2014\/dec\/23\/wildlife-poaching-africa-elephants-illegal-ivory<\/a><\/p>\n<p>[4] \u201cPAWS: protection assistant for wildlife security.\u201d University of South California. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cais.usc.edu\/projects\/wildlife-security\/\">https:\/\/www.cais.usc.edu\/projects\/wildlife-security\/<\/a><\/p>\n<p>[5] Air Shepherd website. <a href=\"https:\/\/airshepherd.org\/\">https:\/\/airshepherd.org\/<\/a><\/p>\n<p>[6] \u201cPoaching and terrorism. A national security challenge\u201d. Committee on Foreign Affairs \u2013 House of Representatives. April 2015. <a href=\"https:\/\/docs.house.gov\/meetings\/FA\/FA18\/20150422\/103355\/HHRG-114-FA18-Transcript-20150422.pdf\">https:\/\/docs.house.gov\/meetings\/FA\/FA18\/20150422\/103355\/HHRG-114-FA18-Transcript-20150422.pdf<\/a><\/p>\n<p>[7] The Wildlife Conservation Society official website. <a href=\"https:\/\/uganda.wcs.org\/Wildlife\/Elephants.aspx\">https:\/\/uganda.wcs.org\/Wildlife\/Elephants.aspx<\/a><\/p>\n<p>[8] \u201cRangers Use Artificial Intelligence to Fight Poachers.\u201d The National Geographic. June 2016. <a href=\"https:\/\/news.nationalgeographic.com\/2016\/06\/paws-artificial-intelligence-fights-poaching-ranger-patrols-wildlife-conservation\/\">https:\/\/news.nationalgeographic.com\/2016\/06\/paws-artificial-intelligence-fights-poaching-ranger-patrols-wildlife-conservation\/<\/a><\/p>\n<p>[9] \u201cRangers Use Artificial Intelligence to Fight Poachers.\u201d The National Geographic. June 2016. <a href=\"https:\/\/news.nationalgeographic.com\/2016\/06\/paws-artificial-intelligence-fights-poaching-ranger-patrols-wildlife-conservation\/\">https:\/\/news.nationalgeographic.com\/2016\/06\/paws-artificial-intelligence-fights-poaching-ranger-patrols-wildlife-conservation\/<\/a><\/p>\n<p>[10] \u201cDeploying PAWS: Field Optimization of the Protection Assistant for Wildlife Security.\u201d\u00a0 Fei Fang, Thanh H. Nguyen, Rob Pickles., University of Southern California, USA Panthera, USA, Rimba, Malaysia, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore, Columbia University, Kenyir Research Institute, Universiti Malaysia Terengganu, The Netherlands Institute for the Study of Crime and Law Enforcement (NSCR). <a href=\"http:\/\/teamcore.usc.edu\/papers\/2016\/IAAI16_PAWS.pdf\">http:\/\/teamcore.usc.edu\/papers\/2016\/IAAI16_PAWS.pdf<\/a><\/p>\n<p>[11] \u201cThis AI Hunts Poachers\u201d. IEEE Spectrum. January 2018. <a href=\"https:\/\/spectrum.ieee.org\/robotics\/artificial-intelligence\/this-ai-hunts-poachers\">https:\/\/spectrum.ieee.org\/robotics\/artificial-intelligence\/this-ai-hunts-poachers<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By using machine learning rangers of Uganda Wildlife Authority try to predict the next attack of poachers<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":11845,"featured_media":36455,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","template":"","categories":[98,346,426,1374],"class_list":["post-36454","hck-submission","type-hck-submission","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-environment","category-machine-learning","category-nature","category-wildlife","hck-taxonomy-organization-paws-project","hck-taxonomy-industry-public-administration","hck-taxonomy-country-uganda"],"connected_submission_link":"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/assignment\/rc-tom-challenge-2018\/","yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - 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