  {"id":33897,"date":"2018-11-13T18:05:30","date_gmt":"2018-11-13T23:05:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/digital.hbs.edu\/platform-rctom\/submission\/iberdrola-machine-learning-and-the-future-of-offshore-wind\/"},"modified":"2018-11-13T18:05:30","modified_gmt":"2018-11-13T23:05:30","slug":"iberdrola-machine-learning-and-the-future-of-offshore-wind","status":"publish","type":"hck-submission","link":"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/submission\/iberdrola-machine-learning-and-the-future-of-offshore-wind\/","title":{"rendered":"Iberdrola, machine learning and the future of offshore wind"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2><strong>Machine learning to tap into the potential of offshore wind power<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>In 1887, inventor Charles Brush built a wind turbine in the backyard of his mansion in Cleveland Ohio. After generations of improvement by talented engineers, wind power is today one of the fastest-growing renewable energy technologies, encouraged by policy support, technology advances and financial incentives [1,2,3]. Offshore turbines specifically offer tremendous potential because of more consistent and higher wind speeds (improving yield) and fewer restrictions on size. Offshore wind capacity is expected to almost triple to 52 GW by 2023, with half the growth driven by the European Union and the other half by Asia [5]. Under conservative scenarios, this capacity should reach 160 GW by 2030 and 350 GW by 2040 [6].<\/p>\n<p>Iberdrola, global leader in power generation and one of the largest wind power producers, understands this potential. The group is investing heavily in renewables and in wind power specifically, to support the transition to low-carbon energy. In line with this strategy, its offshore wind capacity increased by 180% from 2016 to 2017 [7].<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_34095\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-34095\" style=\"width: 472px\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2018\/11\/Wind_Competitiveness.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\" wp-image-34095\" src=\"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2018\/11\/Wind_Competitiveness.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"472\" height=\"336\" srcset=\"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2018\/11\/Wind_Competitiveness.png 658w, https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2018\/11\/Wind_Competitiveness-300x214.png 300w, https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2018\/11\/Wind_Competitiveness-600x428.png 600w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 472px) 100vw, 472px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-34095\" class=\"wp-caption-text\"><em>Figure 1 &#8211; Global levelized cost of electricity from utility-scale renewable power generation technologies, 2010-2017<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>However, competitiveness compared to other technologies remains a key obstacle for offshore wind to fulfill this potential [8,9, figure 1]. Operations and Maintenance (O&amp;M) costs account for 15% to 30 % of the Levelized Cost of Electricity (LCoE) and can be a strong lever of optimization [10 &#8211; 13]. Traditionally reactive, static and labor-intensive, offshore O&amp;M includes costly unplanned maintenance and inspections \u2013 often in harsh conditions \u2013 and is expected to represent a $4.9 billion market by 2026 [14].<\/p>\n<p>This is where machine learning can improve the future of the industry. Using information generated by sensors in the turbines and learning from historical data, maintenance can become predictive. Anomalies and failure modes can be proactively and precisely identified to be addressed before causing any damage or service interruption [15 &#8211; 17]. Specific actions can be suggested to operators, switching from a calendar-based maintenance schedule to a much cheaper asset condition-based maintenance.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Looking forward: Iberdrola\u2019s strategy to decrease offshore O&amp;M costs<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Iberdrola is leading the ROMEO project (\u201cReliable OM decision tools and strategies for high LCoE reduction on offshore wind\u201d), working with 12 industrial partners including IBM, OEMs Adwen and Siemens [18,19]. The objective is to develop a platform to manage and analyze data collected from offshore wind turbines to:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Increase reliability and decrease downtime due to equipment failure,<\/li>\n<li>Increase the lifespan of key turbine components,<\/li>\n<li>Reduce O&amp;M costs through a smarter use of resources and decreased need of foundations inspections.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The outcomes of the project will contribute to the improvement of health and safety, to the development of operational best practices in offshore wind, leading to increased competitivity and lower LCOE.<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Reducing the cost of offshore wind farms and boosting the renewables industry in Europe\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/W-5MxeYtfiU?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>In the short-term (2020 horizon), four major offshore projects are underway in the U.K., Germany and France. East Anglia One (\u00a32.5 billion CAPEX, 714MW) will be the largest offshore wind farm when it starts operations in 2020 and will serve as a pilot site for ROMEO [20].<\/p>\n<p>In the medium term, Iberdrola plans to invest \u20ac9 billion to reach 3 GW of installed capacity in Europe and the U.S. by 2023 [21]. The group will also dedicate \u20ac4.8 billion in digital transformation by 2022 and will focus on improving O&amp;M by using data analytics and artificial intelligence and increasing the availability across its generation plants.<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Our parent company Iberdrola inaugurated the Wikinger offshore wind farm in Germany\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/r9lf0ObV_T8?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n<h2><strong>Leveraging Machine Learning and AI beyond offshore wind<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>I believe that the ROMEO outcomes could easily be transferable to other technologies, chiefly onshore wind and photovoltaic. Additionally, forecasting production could also be facilitated by machine learning technology, based on weather data, asset-specific data and site information [22,23]. Accurate predictions would then allow to anticipate and quantify curtailment [24], to further optimize asset management.<\/p>\n<p>But Iberdrola\u2019s digital strategy should extend beyond asset management. For example, Iberdrola Ventures has recently invested in InnoWatts, a start-up working on smart metering and demand forecasting using machine learning. I would argue that further such acquisitions would strengthen the group\u2019s position as a \u201cutility of the future\u201d and build a stronger capability to lead its digital transformation (including in consumer-facing applications).<\/p>\n<p>As they implement their digital strategy, I would advise Iberdrola to preserve integration and the overall unity of their I.T. landscape. Tremendous amounts of data are measured and generated: coherence and smart management of this data will be key to maintain alignment and efficiency. The development of overarching cloud-based IoT platforms such as GE\u2019s Predix [25] or Siemens\u2019s Mindsphere [26] illustrate this trend.<\/p>\n<p>As Iberdrola moves along their digital transformation journey, I see further outstanding issues around:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>the role of engineering expertise and experience: how can analytics platforms complement technical competences and empower employees to improve performance?<\/li>\n<li>Industry-wide collaboration on data platforms (including OEMs): are consortia such as ROMEO sustainable in a competitive industry?<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>(Wordcount: 791)<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h4><strong>References:<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>[1] Advancing the Growth of the U.S. Wind Industry: Federal Incentives, Funding, and Partnership Opportunities, US Department of Energy (DoE), February 2017<\/p>\n<p>[2] Innovation Outlook, Offshore Wind, International Renewable Energy Agency, 2016<\/p>\n<p>[3] Global Landscape of Renewable Energy Finance, International Renewable Energy Agency, 2018<\/p>\n<p>[4] Annual Market Update 2017, Global Wind Report, General Wind Energy Council<\/p>\n<p>[5] Renewables 2018, Market analysis and forecast from 2018 to 2023, International Energy Agency<\/p>\n<p>[6] Offshore Energy Outlook, International Energy Agency 2018<\/p>\n<p>[7] Iberdrola Integrated Report, February 2018<\/p>\n<p>[8] Renewable Power Generation Costs, International Renewable Energy Agency, 2018<\/p>\n<p>[9] Offshore Energy Outlook, International Energy Agency, 2018<\/p>\n<p>[10] Sensitivity analysis of offshore wind farm operation and maintenance cost and availability, R. Martin et al., Renewable Energy, 2015<\/p>\n<p>[11] Levelized Cost and Levelized Avoided Cost of New Generation Resources in the Annual Energy Outlook 2018, U.S. Energy Information Administration, March 2018<\/p>\n<p>[12] Levelized cost of energy for offshore floating wind turbines in a life cycle perspective, A. Myhr et al., Renewable Energy, 2014<\/p>\n<p>[13] Lazard\u2019s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis, version 11.0, November 2017<\/p>\n<p>[14] Europe Wind Power Outlook 2017, MAKE consulting, 2017<\/p>\n<p>[15] Machine learning methods for wind turbine condition monitoring: A review, A. Stetco et al., Renewable Energy, 2018<\/p>\n<p>[16] Deep Learning for fault detection in wind turbines, J. Helbing et al., Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 2018<\/p>\n<p>[17] Failure rate, repair time and unscheduled O&amp;M cost analysis of offshore wind turbines, J. Carroll et al., Wind Energy, June 2016<\/p>\n<p>[18] ROMEO Seeks to Improve Wind Farms with Machine Learning and IoT at the Edge, IBM research blog, last accessed November 12<sup>th<\/sup> 2018<\/p>\n<p>[19] ROMEO project website (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.romeoproject.eu\/\">https:\/\/www.romeoproject.eu\/<\/a>), last accessed November 12<sup>th<\/sup> 2018<\/p>\n<p>[20] Iberdrola website (<a href=\"http:\/\/www.iberdrola.com\">www.iberdrola.com<\/a>) last accessed November 12<sup>th<\/sup> 2018<\/p>\n<p>[21] Iberdrola press release, October 24<sup>th<\/sup> 2018<\/p>\n<p>[22] Deep learning based ensemble approach for probabilistic wind power forecasting, H. Wang et al., Applied Energy, 2017<\/p>\n<p>[23] Ensemble methods for wind and solar power forecasting\u2014A state-of-the-art review, Y. Ren et al., Renewable and Sustainable Energy Review, 2015<\/p>\n<p>[24] Wind and Solar Energy Curtailment: Experience and Practices in the United States, National Renewable Energy Laboratory, 2014<\/p>\n<p>[25] Digital Wind Asset Performance Management from GE Renewable Energy, 2017<\/p>\n<p>[26] The Predix platform, GE website (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ge.com\/digital\/iiot-platform\">https:\/\/www.ge.com\/digital\/iiot-platform<\/a>) last accessed November 12<sup>th<\/sup> 2018<\/p>\n<p>[27] Siemens Mindsphere, Siemens website (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.siemens.com\/global\/en\/home\/products\/software\/mindsphere-iot.html\">https:\/\/www.siemens.com\/global\/en\/home\/products\/software\/mindsphere-iot.html<\/a>) last accessed November 12<sup>th<\/sup> 2018<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Offshore wind turbines offer tremendous potential for renewable energy, but are still not as competitive as other low-carbon technologies. Iberdrola, global leader in power generation and one of the largest wind power producers, looks at machine learning solutions to decrease maintenance costs and make offshore wind more affordable.  <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":11462,"featured_media":34387,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","template":"","categories":[1988,346,2161,4943,2629,185,1847,1507],"class_list":["post-33897","hck-submission","type-hck-submission","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-iberdrola","category-machine-learning","category-maintenance","category-offshore","category-predictive-maintenance","category-renewable-energy","category-wind-power","category-windfarm","hck-taxonomy-organization-iberdrola","hck-taxonomy-industry-energy","hck-taxonomy-country-spain"],"connected_submission_link":"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/assignment\/rc-tom-challenge-2018\/","yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Iberdrola, machine learning and the future of offshore wind - Technology and Operations Management<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/submission\/iberdrola-machine-learning-and-the-future-of-offshore-wind\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Iberdrola, machine learning and the future of offshore wind - Technology and Operations Management\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Offshore wind turbines offer tremendous potential for renewable energy, but are still not as competitive as other low-carbon technologies. 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