  {"id":32979,"date":"2018-11-13T16:05:45","date_gmt":"2018-11-13T21:05:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/digital.hbs.edu\/platform-rctom\/submission\/minimizing-decision-fatigue-through-machine-learning-tripadvisor\/"},"modified":"2018-11-13T16:10:31","modified_gmt":"2018-11-13T21:10:31","slug":"minimizing-decision-fatigue-through-machine-learning-tripadvisor","status":"publish","type":"hck-submission","link":"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/submission\/minimizing-decision-fatigue-through-machine-learning-tripadvisor\/","title":{"rendered":"Minimizing Decision Fatigue Through Machine Learning @ TripAdvisor"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2018\/11\/170px-TripAdvisor_logo.svg_-1.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-33034\" src=\"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2018\/11\/170px-TripAdvisor_logo.svg_-1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"170\" height=\"118\" \/><\/a><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Every day, we make approximately 35,000 decisions. [1] It is undeniable that technology has played, and continues to play, a huge role in making our lives more convenient. However, information overload and the sheer abundance of choice that the internet offers only adds to the decision fatigue epidemic. Research has shown that our cognitive resources are scarce and we tend to feel depleted by decision-making. [2] Machine learning (ML) is helping to limit the effects of information overload on crowdsourced review platforms, making them better decision-making aids. <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">The machine learning megatrend is moving <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">review<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> platforms towards becoming <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">recommendation<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> platforms, as users want technology to be more decisive. One such review platform is TripAdvisor, which has become an instrumental tool for travelers looking to make decisions about what to do on their trips.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">At present, TripAdvisor is working on hyper-personalized rankings and optimizing the helpfulness of reviews. By limiting the amount of information that users have to decipher to make a decision, TripAdvisor is moving closer to becoming a recommendation platform.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_31411\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-31411\" style=\"width: 393px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2018\/11\/diagram-1.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-31411\" src=\"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2018\/11\/diagram-1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"393\" height=\"291\" srcset=\"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2018\/11\/diagram-1.png 393w, https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2018\/11\/diagram-1-300x222.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 393px) 100vw, 393px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-31411\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Diagram 1: A visualization of where competitor platforms stand on the size of user base vs. friction for users to contribute<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">To help frame how ML is shaping TripAdvisor\u2019s product direction, it is important to understand the current limitations for recommendation platforms. As per diagram 1:<\/span><\/p>\n<ol>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Reliance on a large community that the user can lean on for advice<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Friction for users to contribute their opinions. <\/span><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Machine learning can solve for these, as it can reduce platforms\u2019 reliance on a large user base that is incentivized to contribute reviews. All they would need is a critical mass of user contributions as \u201ctraining data\u201d. However, full reliance on AI with no additional user contributions would require a <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">steady state<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> for users\u2019 preferences. That\u2019s when\u00a0the model\u2019s learning patterns are not future-proof and the <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u201cover-fitting\u201d phenomenon comes into play. [6]<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Personalized Ranking<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Besides the current ranking algorithms, there is a slew of launches around personalized recommendations in different parts of the product. For example, TripAdvisor\u2019s email digests include a collection of algorithmically-curated suggestions.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Review Helpfulness<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">TripAdvisor has too many reviews for human moderators to rank which ones to display. In response to this, they built a classifier for scoring whether a review\u2019s text is likely to be helpful to other travelers or not. However, the current performance is only sufficient for filtering reviews to route to moderators, but \u201ceven at its best precision, it has too many false positives to auto-reject any reviews.\u201d The classifier still isn\u2019t capable of operating without human intervention. [5]<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Longer term, there are indications that TripAdvisor is working on more predictive tools. For example, for review helpfulness, \u201ctaking into account the user\u2019s review writing history; if they\u2019ve written helpful reviews in the past, perhaps we\u2019ll give them more benefit of the doubt on a marginal review.\u201d [5]. TripAdvisor is feeling the pressure to become more directive. Hence, the real power of the mega-trend will be realized with TripAdvisor\u2019s broader vision to be able to take into account user preferences, as well as various user-generated reviews, to provide users with one definitive suggestion that would best suit them and the occasion.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_31415\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-31415\" style=\"width: 396px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2018\/11\/diagram-2.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-31415\" src=\"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2018\/11\/diagram-2.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"396\" height=\"298\" srcset=\"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2018\/11\/diagram-2.png 396w, https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2018\/11\/diagram-2-300x226.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 396px) 100vw, 396px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-31415\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Diagram 2: The # of responses and time dichotomy<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Training the classifier to serve one recommendation based on a weighted average of user-generated reviews (for example, weighted by the credibility of the reviewer) has major limitations.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Reflecting on how we seek recommendations in reality, we engage with one person at a time and seek their advice. With each 1:1 interaction, we can get an extra \u2018datapoint\u2019 that helps us make a reasoned decision. We also sometimes poll a large group of people to gauge the majority view on a topic. Despite taking longer, I would hypothesize that a string of 1:1 interactions are more effective at taking into account context. This dichotomy is visualized in diagram 2. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">In the context of ML on TripAdvisor, the latter case holds and it is a major concern that only a limited amount of information is included in predictive models. The issue of TripAdvisor tapping into the hivemind and averaging responses to compute a recommendation in real-time is an important consideration for their product team.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">In general, it is important to keep in mind that <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">personalized recommendations are \u201cforecasts of people\u2019s preferences, and they are helpful even if they won\u2019t tell you why people like the things they do, or how to change what they like.\u201d [6] This raises the question of what users\u2019 expectations of a machine-generated recommendation are? <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Additionally, there is the issue of the standardization of decision-making. The call for a specific decision &#8211; which restaurant should I go to, for instance &#8211; would be met by the standardized result of social understanding, therefore flattening individual choice into social conformity, which raises the question of whether minimizing decision fatigue through machine learning is at the expense of individual agency? <\/span><\/p>\n<p><!--more--><br \/>\n<em>(Word Count: 782)<\/em><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">[1] Sahakian, B. J.; Labuzetta, J. N. (2013). Bad moves: how decision making goes wrong, and the ethics of smart drugs. London: Oxford University Press.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">[2] Rudiger et al. (2013). Effort reduction after self-control depletion: The role of cognitive resources in use of simple heuristics. Journal of Cognitive Psychology.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">[3] Polman, E., &amp; Vohs, K. D. (2016). Decision Fatigue, Choosing for Others, and Self-Construal. Social Psychological and Personality Science, 7(5), 471\u2013478.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">[4] Amis, G. (2015) Which of TripAdvisor\u2019s reviews are actually helpful? Engineering &amp; Product Operations TripAdvisor Blog. <\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/engineering.tripadvisor.com\/which-of-tripadvisors-reviews-are-actually-helpful\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">http:\/\/engineering.tripadvisor.com\/which-of-tripadvisors-reviews-are-actually-helpful\/<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">[5] Yeomans, M. (2015). What every manager should know about machine learning. 性视界 Business Review.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>[6] Lake. Stitch Fix\u2019s CEO on selling personal style to the mass market. <i>性视界 Business Review<\/i> 96, no. 3 (May\/June 2018): 35-40.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Despite the many convenience benefits of the internet, information overload is real. And with that comes decision fatigue. Machine learning is helping review platforms, like TripAdvisor, cut through all the fluff to get you to a decision faster. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":11785,"featured_media":33077,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","template":"","categories":[1909,599,2174,346,4252,4367,958,138,4801],"class_list":["post-32979","hck-submission","type-hck-submission","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-artificial-intelligence","category-digital-platform","category-hotel-technology","category-machine-learning","category-recommendation","category-recommendation-engine","category-reviews","category-travel","category-tripadvisor","hck-taxonomy-organization-tripadvisor","hck-taxonomy-industry-travel","hck-taxonomy-country-united-states"],"connected_submission_link":"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/assignment\/rc-tom-challenge-2018\/","yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Minimizing Decision Fatigue Through Machine Learning @ TripAdvisor - Technology and Operations Management<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/submission\/minimizing-decision-fatigue-through-machine-learning-tripadvisor\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Minimizing Decision Fatigue Through Machine Learning @ TripAdvisor - Technology and Operations Management\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Despite the many convenience benefits of the internet, information overload is real. 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