  {"id":30982,"date":"2018-11-13T00:52:51","date_gmt":"2018-11-13T05:52:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/digital.hbs.edu\/platform-rctom\/submission\/iot-and-me-nest-machine-learning-and-the-smart-device-revolution\/"},"modified":"2018-11-13T00:52:51","modified_gmt":"2018-11-13T05:52:51","slug":"iot-and-me-nest-machine-learning-and-the-smart-device-revolution","status":"publish","type":"hck-submission","link":"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/submission\/iot-and-me-nest-machine-learning-and-the-smart-device-revolution\/","title":{"rendered":"IoT and Me: Nest, Machine Learning, and the Smart Device Revolution"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>As connected smart homes and the Internet of Things continue to become more mainstream, Nest is one of the companies at the forefront of this revolution.\u00a0 From its flagship smart thermostat to security cameras and smoke alarms, Nest employs complex machine learning algorithms to save consumers energy, keep their homes safe, and harness the power of big data.<\/p>\n<p>Due to recent technological advancements and consumer interest in connected devices, the smart home market is rapidly expanding, with an estimated 31% CAGR <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mckinsey.com\/spContent\/connected_homes\/index.html\">[1]<\/a> and estimated market size of $45B <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/brandfeatures\/venture-capital\/article?id=28096\">[2]<\/a>.\u00a0 With the plethora of products available in the space, smart device firms need to distinguish their products from those of their competitors and push the boundaries of product development to create novel products that can disrupt the market.\u00a0 Nest has been doing this since introducing their smart thermostat in 2011, with expansions into smart security cameras, doorbells, and smoke alarms.\u00a0 Nest devices can be controlled from customers\u2019 phones and dynamically learn customers\u2019 preferences over time.\u00a0 They take in various inputs such as temperature adjustments, home inhabitant schedules, and weather to optimize thermostat settings and detect anomalies in home occupancy.\u00a0 The devices can also recognize customer patterns to differentiate between weekends vs. weekdays and time at work vs. home <a href=\"https:\/\/nest.com\/support\/article\/An-introduction-to-learning\">[3]<\/a>. \u00a0According to Nest\u2019s analysis, its thermostat can cut heating and cooling bills by 10-15% through machine learning and smart schedules.\u00a0 These energy savings are worth between $131-$145 annually, meaning that the $249 thermostat pays itself off in under 2 years <a href=\"https:\/\/nest.com\/blog\/2015\/02\/02\/the-nest-learning-thermostat-saves-energy-heres-the-proof\/\">[4]<\/a>.\u00a0 In addition, Nest\u2019s devices have been critical in identifying burglaries and carbon monoxide emergencies.\u00a0 By building a solid, satisfied customer base, Nest can push more of its connected home products to those customers and encourage them to purchase other items that can integrate with Nest, such as Google Home.\u00a0 The company can also use its wealth of data to continually iterate on its products and make them more tailored for customer use.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2018\/11\/Nest-savings.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-30966\" src=\"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2018\/11\/Nest-savings.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"557\" height=\"945\" srcset=\"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2018\/11\/Nest-savings.jpg 557w, https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2018\/11\/Nest-savings-177x300.jpg 177w, https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2018\/11\/Nest-savings-354x600.jpg 354w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 557px) 100vw, 557px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>However, despite Nest\u2019s success and parent company Google\u2019s substantial investment in R&amp;D, both companies are still trying to catch up to smart device market leader Amazon and fight off competitors like Honeywell.\u00a0 To do so, Google and Nest have made considerable investments into new product lines and partnerships.\u00a0 In fact, Nest experienced a large net operating loss of $621M in 2017, much of which is likely attributable to its expanded product portfolio <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/investing\/2018\/04\/24\/alphabet-discloses-nest-financials-for-the-first-t.aspx\">[5]<\/a>.\u00a0 The company recently introduced 2 new product lines: home security system Nest Secure in late 2017 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/nest-secure-home-security-system-costs-499-will-compete-with-adt-comcast-2017-9?op=1\">[6]<\/a> and doorbell Nest Hello in early 2018 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnet.com\/news\/nest-says-hello-with-a-new-doorbell-camera\/\">[7]<\/a>.\u00a0 In addition, the company partnered with Whirlpool and GE on integrating Nest technology into Whirlpool <a href=\"https:\/\/www.whirlpool.com\/home-innovations\/connected-appliances.html\">[8]<\/a> and GE appliances <a href=\"https:\/\/www.geappliances.com\/ge\/connected-appliances\/\">[9]<\/a>.\u00a0 It also is working closely with Google on expanded product offerings with Google Home and Google Assistant.\u00a0 For longer-term goals, not only is Nest doing its own R&amp;D, but it also recognizes that working with Amazon can be beneficial, both from brand awareness and competitive standpoints <a href=\"https:\/\/nest.com\/support\/article\/Nest-and-Amazon-Alexa\">[10]<\/a>.\u00a0 By doing so, Nest and Google can chip away at Amazon\u2019s dominant position in the market and make their products stickier with consumers.\u00a0 Another key factor to consider is that Nest rejoined Google earlier in 2018, rolling into the hardware division.\u00a0 After a couple months there, Nest then merged with Google Home, allowing both entities to fully take advantage of each other\u2019s expertise and resources <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.google\/inside-google\/company-announcements\/nest-join-forces-googles-hardware-team\/\">[11]<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>In addition to Nest\u2019s plan moving forward, there are ample opportunities for the firm to establish itself as a smart device market leader through machine learning and product innovations.\u00a0 Business Insider believes the market is currently \u201cstuck in the \u2018chasm\u2019 of the technology adoption curve,\u201d <a href=\"https:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/nest-looks-to-enhance-ai-machine-learning-2017-1\">[12]<\/a> but Matt Rogers, one of Nest\u2019s co-founders, sees Nest emerging out of the trough of the product development \u201cHype Cycle\u201d <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/bb99c4cc-e673-11e5-ac45-5c039e797d1c\">[13]<\/a>.\u00a0 To ensure the company is progressing in the right direction, Nest should utilize Google\u2019s vast resources and focus on expanding its product offerings into additional connected home devices, such as light switches, power strips, and window blinds.\u00a0 It should also continue to analyze its data to glean insights on customer behavior to refine its machine learning algorithms.\u00a0 Nest should emphasize integrating with wearables and vehicles as well, especially as almost half the people in the connected home market own wearables <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mckinsey.com\/spContent\/connected_homes\/index.html\">[14]<\/a> and as the autonomous vehicle market grows at 36.2% CAGR <a href=\"https:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/press-release\/self-driving-car-market-to-grow-at-a-cagr-of-362-leading-to-global-revenue-of-usd-17315-bn-by-2023-2018-09-11\">[15]<\/a>.\u00a0 Nest should also work on a singular connected platform for all its products, giving it a huge competitive edge by tackling the long-standing issue of a highly fragmented smart device market without clean integration across devices <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mckinsey.com\/spContent\/connected_homes\/index.html\">[16]<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Nest has clearly established itself as a market leader in the smart devices space, but the company still faces stiff competition and consumer skepticism.\u00a0 What product and partnership areas should Nest focus on? \u00a0How can the company appeal to its expansive consumer base, which potentially includes all homeowners, renters, and landlords?<\/p>\n<p>(799 words)<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>[1] Ahuja, Kabir and Patel, Mark.\u00a0 \u201cThere\u2019s No Place Like [A Connected] Home.\u201d\u00a0 <em>McKinsey<\/em>, 2016.\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mckinsey.com\/spContent\/connected_homes\/index.html\">https:\/\/www.mckinsey.com\/spContent\/connected_homes\/index.html<\/a>, accessed November 2018.<\/p>\n<p>[2] Reuters.\u00a0 \u201cGlobal Smart Homes Market 2018 by Evolving Technology, Projections &amp; Estimations, Business Competitors, Cost Structure, Key Companies and Forecast to 2023.\u201d \u00a0<em>Reuters<\/em>, February 19, 2018.\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/brandfeatures\/venture-capital\/article?id=28096\">https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/brandfeatures\/venture-capital\/article?id=28096<\/a>, accessed November 2018.<\/p>\n<p>[3] Nest.\u00a0 \u201cHow Nest thermostats learn.\u201d\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/nest.com\/support\/article\/An-introduction-to-learning\">https:\/\/nest.com\/support\/article\/An-introduction-to-learning<\/a>, accessed November 2018.<\/p>\n<p>[4] Rogers, Matt.\u00a0 \u201cThe Nest Learning Thermostat saves energy. Here\u2019s the proof.\u201d\u00a0 <em>Nest<\/em>, February 12, 2015.\u00a0 \u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/nest.com\/blog\/2015\/02\/02\/the-nest-learning-thermostat-saves-energy-heres-the-proof\/\">https:\/\/nest.com\/blog\/2015\/02\/02\/the-nest-learning-thermostat-saves-energy-heres-the-proof\/<\/a>, accessed November 2018.<\/p>\n<p>[5] Niu, Evan.\u00a0 \u201cAlphabet Discloses Nest Financials for the First Time.\u201d\u00a0 <em>The Motley Fool<\/em>, April 24, 2018.\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/investing\/2018\/04\/24\/alphabet-discloses-nest-financials-for-the-first-t.aspx\">https:\/\/www.fool.com\/investing\/2018\/04\/24\/alphabet-discloses-nest-financials-for-the-first-t.aspx<\/a>, accessed November 2018.<\/p>\n<p>[6] Weinberger, Matt.\u00a0 \u201cNest just announced a full-fledged home-security system for $499.\u201d\u00a0 <em>Business Insider<\/em>, September 20, 2017. \u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/nest-secure-home-security-system-costs-499-will-compete-with-adt-comcast-2017-9?op=1\">https:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/nest-secure-home-security-system-costs-499-will-compete-with-adt-comcast-2017-9?op=1<\/a>, accessed November 2018.<\/p>\n<p>[7] Brown, Rich. \u00a0\u201cNest says Hello with a new doorbell camera.\u201d \u00a0<em>CNET<\/em>, September 20, 2017.\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnet.com\/news\/nest-says-hello-with-a-new-doorbell-camera\/\">https:\/\/www.cnet.com\/news\/nest-says-hello-with-a-new-doorbell-camera\/<\/a>, accessed November 2018.<\/p>\n<p>[8] Whirlpool.\u00a0 \u201cConnected Appliances.\u201d \u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.whirlpool.com\/home-innovations\/connected-appliances.html\">https:\/\/www.whirlpool.com\/home-innovations\/connected-appliances.html<\/a>, accessed November 2018.<\/p>\n<p>[9] General Electric.\u00a0 \u201cGE WiFi Connect.\u201d \u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.geappliances.com\/ge\/connected-appliances\/\">https:\/\/www.geappliances.com\/ge\/connected-appliances\/<\/a>, accessed November 2018.<\/p>\n<p>[10] Nest.\u00a0 \u201cLearn how to control your Nest products with Amazon Alexa.\u201d\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/nest.com\/support\/article\/Nest-and-Amazon-Alexa\">https:\/\/nest.com\/support\/article\/Nest-and-Amazon-Alexa<\/a>, accessed November 2018.<\/p>\n<p>[11] Osterloh, Rick and Fawaz, Marwan.\u00a0 \u201cNest to join forces with Google\u2019s hardware team.\u201d\u00a0 <em>Google<\/em>, February 7, 2018.\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.google\/inside-google\/company-announcements\/nest-join-forces-googles-hardware-team\/\">https:\/\/blog.google\/inside-google\/company-announcements\/nest-join-forces-googles-hardware-team\/<\/a>, accessed November 2018.<\/p>\n<p>[12] Business Insider Intelligence.\u00a0 \u201cNest looks to enhance AI and machine learning.\u201d\u00a0 <em>Business Insider<\/em>, January 25, 2017. \u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/nest-looks-to-enhance-ai-machine-learning-2017-1\">https:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/nest-looks-to-enhance-ai-machine-learning-2017-1<\/a>, accessed November 2018.<\/p>\n<p>[13] Bradshaw, Tim.\u00a0 \u201cNest looks to the cloud to boost machine learning capability.\u201d\u00a0 <em>Financial Times<\/em>, March 10, 2016.\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/bb99c4cc-e673-11e5-ac45-5c039e797d1c\">https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/bb99c4cc-e673-11e5-ac45-5c039e797d1c<\/a>, accessed November 2018.<\/p>\n<p>[14] Ahuja, Kabir and Patel, Mark.\u00a0 \u201cThere\u2019s No Place Like [A Connected] Home.\u201d\u00a0 <em>McKinsey<\/em>, 2016.\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mckinsey.com\/spContent\/connected_homes\/index.html\">https:\/\/www.mckinsey.com\/spContent\/connected_homes\/index.html<\/a>, accessed November 2018.<\/p>\n<p>[15] Market Watch.\u00a0 \u201cSelf-driving Car Market to Grow at a CAGR of 36.2%, leading to global revenue of USD 173.15 Bn by 2023.\u201d\u00a0 <em>Market Watch<\/em>, September 11, 2018. \u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/press-release\/self-driving-car-market-to-grow-at-a-cagr-of-362-leading-to-global-revenue-of-usd-17315-bn-by-2023-2018-09-11\">https:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/press-release\/self-driving-car-market-to-grow-at-a-cagr-of-362-leading-to-global-revenue-of-usd-17315-bn-by-2023-2018-09-11<\/a>, accessed November 2018.<\/p>\n<p>[16] Ahuja, Kabir and Patel, Mark.\u00a0 \u201cThere\u2019s No Place Like [A Connected] Home.\u201d\u00a0 <em>McKinsey<\/em>, 2016.\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mckinsey.com\/spContent\/connected_homes\/index.html\">https:\/\/www.mckinsey.com\/spContent\/connected_homes\/index.html<\/a>, accessed November 2018.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Nest, a market leader in the smart devices space, employs machine learning and big data to cater to its customers, push its products forward, and explore new areas of 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