  {"id":24390,"date":"2017-11-15T17:36:05","date_gmt":"2017-11-15T22:36:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/digital.hbs.edu\/platform-rctom\/submission\/does-a-trump-presidency-mean-fewer-free-t-shirts\/"},"modified":"2017-11-15T17:36:05","modified_gmt":"2017-11-15T22:36:05","slug":"does-a-trump-presidency-mean-fewer-free-t-shirts","status":"publish","type":"hck-submission","link":"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/submission\/does-a-trump-presidency-mean-fewer-free-t-shirts\/","title":{"rendered":"Does a Trump presidency mean fewer free t-shirts?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Gildan Activewear Inc (\u201cGildan\u201d, GIL.TO) is a Montreal based manufacturer of printwear (think promotional materials) and branded apparel. Chances are you have at least one Gildan T-Shirt in your closet \u2013 the company has a 53% share of the US printwear basics market.\u00a0At least one of your free HBS t-shirts is a Gildan shirt.<a href=\"#_ftn1\" name=\"_ftnref1\"><\/a><a href=\"#_edn1\" name=\"_ednref1\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#_ftn2\" name=\"_ftnref2\"><\/a> With large customers [<a href=\"#_ftnref2\" name=\"_ftn2\">\u2020]<\/a>\u00a0in the United States, Canada and Europe and a commodity product, it is essential that Gildan delivers products reliably, on-time, and at the absolute lowest cost. Gildan has does this by vertically integrating its supply chain to maintain visibility and control.\u00a0 To meet the demands of its customers, Gildan has located its production facilities in low cost centers around the world (see the table below) where trade agreements exist with its biggest customer market, the US<a href=\"#_ftn3\" name=\"_ftnref3\">[\u2021]<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><em><a href=\"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2017\/11\/Gildan-Table.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-24366 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2017\/11\/Gildan-Table.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"661\" height=\"296\" \/><\/a>\u00a0 Source: Gildan 2016 Annual Information Form, page 14<\/em><\/p>\n<p>With the United States renegotiating or threatening to withdraw from major trade agreements, this value chain is at risk of cost escalation. The potential for further disruption to trade agreements between the United States and the various countries where Gildan operates increases uncertainty, making it difficult for Gildan to price contracts, plan production and make hiring\/firing decisions.<\/p>\n<p>The head of Bain &amp; Company\u2019s supply chain practice Joe Terino says that taking a wait and see approach in response to this uncertainty won\u2019t work<a href=\"#_edn2\" name=\"_ednref2\">[2]<\/a>. In his recent 性视界 Business Review article, Terino suggests companies anticipate a range of regulatory scenarios and plan a series of moves that are \u2018no-regrets\u2019, create natural options and hedges, or represent significant bets. Gildan has thus far heeded this advice with the moves outlined below:<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<table style=\"height: 517px\" width=\"1001\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"120\"><strong>Type of Action<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"216\"><strong>Description<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"306\"><strong>Gildan Action<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"120\"><strong>No-regret moves<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"216\">Actions benefitting a company\u2019s competitive advantage, no matter which scenario plays out<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/td>\n<td width=\"306\">\n<ul>\n<li>Since 2011, Gildan has invested US$1B in operational efficiencies ($140mm in 2016) to establish itself as a lowest cost player globally<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"120\"><strong>Option building \/ hedge moves<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"216\">Investments that companies can make to develop strategic options for different scenarios<\/td>\n<td width=\"306\">\n<ul>\n<li>In early 2017, Gildan acquired American Apparel out of bankruptcy proceedings for US$88 million, adding significant US domestic manufacturing capacity<a href=\"#_edn3\" name=\"_ednref3\">[3]<\/a><\/li>\n<li>Diversified network of manufacturing sites across countries with bilateral trade deals with US<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"120\"><strong>Big bets<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"216\">Large scale investments that have different payouts depending on the scenario outcomes<\/td>\n<td width=\"306\">\n<ul>\n<li>Gildan has invested $US 400 million (~5% of Enterprise Value<a href=\"#_edn4\" name=\"_ednref4\">[4]<\/a><a href=\"#_ftn4\" name=\"_ftnref4\">[\u00a7]<\/a>) \u00a0since 2012 to ramp up yarn spinning capacity in the US to reduce the share of cotton production occurring outside of the US<a href=\"#_edn5\" name=\"_ednref5\">[5]<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Building a diversified, decentralized supply chain like Gildan has is expensive. As prices for its products continue to face pressure, it is in Gildan\u2019s best interest to consolidate its supply chain and enhance its position as the lowest cost supplier. To offset the political risk inherent in geographical consolidation, the company will need to develop earlier visibility into policy developments to shorten its response time. Terino suggests identifying key signposts in the development of policy and tying them to strategic initiatives<a href=\"#_ednref6\" name=\"_edn6\">[6]<\/a>. In the case of NAFTA this would include closely monitoring the details of negotiations in real time and making strategic decisions about its Canada and Mexico operations based on these signposts.<a href=\"#_edn6\" name=\"_ednref6\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Gildan needs to get as close as possible to negotiations to gain as early of access to information as early as possible. Other Canadian companies, such as Linamar (an auto parts manufacturer) have gone so far as \u2018volunteering\u2019 as advisors to the Canadian government&#8217;s NAFTA team, trading off CEO time and resources for advance info on developments and an ability to influence conversations<a href=\"#_edn7\" name=\"_ednref7\">[7]<\/a>. Gildan should be right there with them.<\/p>\n<p>With this isolationist trend still in its infancy, many questions remain. \u00a0Will it spread to many more countries around the world? Should Gildan be investing in a full-time lobbying \/ regulatory team? Should it be investing in full, vertical operations in each of its customer markets?<\/p>\n<p>Regardless of the answers to the above, Gildan needs to get its policy response right, or risk losing its shirt.<\/p>\n<p>(Word Count: 791)<\/p>\n<p>&#8212;&#8212;&#8211;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#_ftnref1\" name=\"_ftn1\">[*]<\/a> Assumes US$1.44B of Printwear Revenue in the United States and a Printwear Basics market of US$2.7B in the United States<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#_ftnref2\" name=\"_ftn2\">[\u2020]<\/a> Two customers combined for 30.6% of revenue in 2016<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#_ftnref3\" name=\"_ftn3\">[\u2021]<\/a> 87% of 2016 revenue<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#_ftnref4\" name=\"_ftn4\">[\u00a7]<\/a> Based on November 14 closing price of US$ 30.09\/share<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#_ednref1\" name=\"_edn1\">[1]<\/a> Gildan Activewear Inc., \u201cGildan Investor Presentation\u201d (National Bank Financial Markets 7th Annual Quebec Conference, Toronto), 6\u20137, accessed November 13, 2017, http:\/\/www.gildancorp.com\/documents\/NBF.June7.2017.Annual.Conference.pdf.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#_ednref2\" name=\"_edn2\">[2]<\/a> Joe Terino, \u201cIs Your Supply Chain Ready for a NAFTA Overhaul?,\u201d 性视界 Business Review, accessed November 12, 2017, https:\/\/hbr.org\/2017\/06\/is-your-supply-chain-ready-for-a-nafta-overhaul.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#_ednref3\" name=\"_edn3\">[3]<\/a> Elizabeth Segran, \u201cAn Inside Look at Gildan, The Company That Just Acquired American Apparel,\u201d FastCompany, November 15, 2016, https:\/\/www.fastcompany.com\/3065686\/how-to-make-a-t-shirt-in-trumps-anti-trade-america.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#_ednref4\" name=\"_edn4\">[4]<\/a> \u201cBloomberg.com | Gildan Activewear\u201d (Bloomberg, November 14, 2017), https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/quote\/GIL:US.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#_ednref5\" name=\"_edn5\">[5]<\/a> Gildan Activewear, \u201cAnnual Report for 2016,\u201d 8.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#_ednref6\" name=\"_edn6\">[6]<\/a> Terino, \u201cIs Your Supply Chain Ready for a NAFTA Overhaul?\u201d<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#_ednref7\" name=\"_edn7\">[7]<\/a> Global Affairs Canada, \u201cNAFTA Council Members and New Diplomatic Appointees,\u201d August 2017, https:\/\/www.canada.ca\/en\/global-affairs\/news\/2017\/08\/nafta_council_membersandnewdiplomaticappointees.html.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Did you ever think about the impact that Making America Great Again would have on your ability to collect free t-shirts at every conference you go to? I\u2019ll bet that was the last thing on the minds of most people last November, save for a few executives in the economic heart of French Canada.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10176,"featured_media":24453,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","template":"","categories":[114,3549,161,3219,17],"class_list":["post-24390","hck-submission","type-hck-submission","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-apparel","category-free-trade","category-manufacturing","category-nafta","category-supply-chain","hck-taxonomy-organization-gildan-activewear","hck-taxonomy-industry-apparel-and-accessories","hck-taxonomy-country-canada"],"connected_submission_link":"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/assignment\/rc-tom-challenge-2017\/","yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Does a Trump presidency mean fewer free t-shirts? - Technology and Operations Management<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/submission\/does-a-trump-presidency-mean-fewer-free-t-shirts\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Does a Trump presidency mean fewer free t-shirts? - Technology and Operations Management\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Did you ever think about the impact that Making America Great Again would have on your ability to collect free t-shirts at every conference you go to? I\u2019ll bet that was the last thing on the minds of most people last November, save for a few executives in the economic heart of French Canada.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/submission\/does-a-trump-presidency-mean-fewer-free-t-shirts\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Technology and Operations Management\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2017\/11\/146769671.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"612\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"407\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"4 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/d3.harvard.edu\\\/platform-rctom\\\/submission\\\/does-a-trump-presidency-mean-fewer-free-t-shirts\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/d3.harvard.edu\\\/platform-rctom\\\/submission\\\/does-a-trump-presidency-mean-fewer-free-t-shirts\\\/\",\"name\":\"Does a Trump presidency mean fewer free t-shirts? - Technology and Operations Management\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/d3.harvard.edu\\\/platform-rctom\\\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/d3.harvard.edu\\\/platform-rctom\\\/submission\\\/does-a-trump-presidency-mean-fewer-free-t-shirts\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/d3.harvard.edu\\\/platform-rctom\\\/submission\\\/does-a-trump-presidency-mean-fewer-free-t-shirts\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/d3.harvard.edu\\\/platform-rctom\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/sites\\\/4\\\/2017\\\/11\\\/146769671.jpg\",\"datePublished\":\"2017-11-15T22:36:05+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/d3.harvard.edu\\\/platform-rctom\\\/submission\\\/does-a-trump-presidency-mean-fewer-free-t-shirts\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/d3.harvard.edu\\\/platform-rctom\\\/submission\\\/does-a-trump-presidency-mean-fewer-free-t-shirts\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/d3.harvard.edu\\\/platform-rctom\\\/submission\\\/does-a-trump-presidency-mean-fewer-free-t-shirts\\\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/d3.harvard.edu\\\/platform-rctom\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/sites\\\/4\\\/2017\\\/11\\\/146769671.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/d3.harvard.edu\\\/platform-rctom\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/sites\\\/4\\\/2017\\\/11\\\/146769671.jpg\",\"width\":612,\"height\":407},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/d3.harvard.edu\\\/platform-rctom\\\/submission\\\/does-a-trump-presidency-mean-fewer-free-t-shirts\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/d3.harvard.edu\\\/platform-rctom\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Submissions\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/d3.harvard.edu\\\/platform-rctom\\\/submission\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":3,\"name\":\"Does a Trump presidency mean fewer free t-shirts?\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/d3.harvard.edu\\\/platform-rctom\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/d3.harvard.edu\\\/platform-rctom\\\/\",\"name\":\"Technology and Operations Management\",\"description\":\"MBA Student Perspectives\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"性视界Action\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\\\/\\\/d3.harvard.edu\\\/platform-rctom\\\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Does a Trump presidency mean fewer free t-shirts? - Technology and Operations Management","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/submission\/does-a-trump-presidency-mean-fewer-free-t-shirts\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"Does a Trump presidency mean fewer free t-shirts? - Technology and Operations Management","og_description":"Did you ever think about the impact that Making America Great Again would have on your ability to collect free t-shirts at every conference you go to? I\u2019ll bet that was the last thing on the minds of most people last November, save for a few executives in the economic heart of French Canada.","og_url":"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/submission\/does-a-trump-presidency-mean-fewer-free-t-shirts\/","og_site_name":"Technology and Operations Management","og_image":[{"width":612,"height":407,"url":"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2017\/11\/146769671.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Est. reading time":"4 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/submission\/does-a-trump-presidency-mean-fewer-free-t-shirts\/","url":"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/submission\/does-a-trump-presidency-mean-fewer-free-t-shirts\/","name":"Does a Trump presidency mean fewer free t-shirts? - Technology and Operations Management","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/submission\/does-a-trump-presidency-mean-fewer-free-t-shirts\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/submission\/does-a-trump-presidency-mean-fewer-free-t-shirts\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2017\/11\/146769671.jpg","datePublished":"2017-11-15T22:36:05+00:00","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/submission\/does-a-trump-presidency-mean-fewer-free-t-shirts\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/submission\/does-a-trump-presidency-mean-fewer-free-t-shirts\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/submission\/does-a-trump-presidency-mean-fewer-free-t-shirts\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2017\/11\/146769671.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2017\/11\/146769671.jpg","width":612,"height":407},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/submission\/does-a-trump-presidency-mean-fewer-free-t-shirts\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Submissions","item":"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/submission\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":3,"name":"Does a Trump presidency mean fewer free t-shirts?"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/#website","url":"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/","name":"Technology and Operations Management","description":"MBA Student Perspectives","potentialAction":[{"@type":"性视界Action","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/hck-submission\/24390","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/hck-submission"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/hck-submission"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/10176"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=24390"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/hck-submission\/24390\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/24453"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=24390"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=24390"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}