  {"id":24137,"date":"2017-11-15T19:42:19","date_gmt":"2017-11-16T00:42:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/digital.hbs.edu\/platform-rctom\/submission\/autonomous-trucks-an-industry-savior-or-environmental-threat\/"},"modified":"2017-11-15T19:42:19","modified_gmt":"2017-11-16T00:42:19","slug":"autonomous-trucks-industry-savior-or-environmental-threat","status":"publish","type":"hck-submission","link":"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/submission\/autonomous-trucks-industry-savior-or-environmental-threat\/","title":{"rendered":"Autonomous Trucks \u2013 Industry Savior or Environmental Threat?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>JB Hunt (JBH) is the third largest trucking company in the U.S. [1]. In 2016, the trucking vehicle class represented 20% of emissions in the U.S. transportation sector and accounted for the largest increase compared to 2015 [2]. Primarily driven by financial incentives and government regulations, JBH has been investing in fuel efficiency. While fuel efficiency plays an important role in reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, trucking companies like JBH also need to be considering operational efficiency, an increasingly critical issue with the rise of e-commerce and looming introduction of autonomous vehicle technology.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Relevance and Approach<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>JBH\u2019s recent focus on the environment has been driven by three factors: government regulations, the financial benefits of using more fuel-efficient technologies, and the desire of its customers for more environmentally friendly supply chains (e.g., Wal-Mart \u2013 a major customer of JBH) [3]. However, JBH does have an additional reason to help slow global warming, as its business can be negatively impacted by climate change-related events. In fact, in the third quarter of 2017, it failed to meet earnings expectations and cited Hurricanes Harvey, Irma, and Maria as a root cause [4].<\/p>\n<p>Some of JBH\u2019s ongoing fuel efficiency measures include limiting the top speed of vehicles, equipping vehicles with more aerodynamic bodies, and encouraging fuel-efficient driving behaviors [5]. In 2016, the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) introduced its second phase of fuel efficiency regulations, mandating a higher standard that must be reached by 2027 [2]. While JBH has been consistent in its support and adherence to fuel efficiency measures, it has not set GHG emissions goals. In 2015, a proposal to do so was rejected by its board and 83% of shareholders [6]. JBH advertises a \u201cCarbon Calculator process\u201d on its website, but only displays its emissions reductions relative to a no innovation scenario [7]. This is a deceptive precedent under which JBH could improve fuel efficiency, while still emitting more GHG overall.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Future Considerations<\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2017\/11\/autonomous-truck.jpg\"><br \/>\n<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-25258 alignleft\" src=\"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2017\/11\/autonomous-truck-300x167.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"449\" height=\"250\" srcset=\"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2017\/11\/autonomous-truck-300x167.jpg 300w, https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2017\/11\/autonomous-truck-600x334.jpg 600w, https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2017\/11\/autonomous-truck.jpg 680w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 449px) 100vw, 449px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Growth of JBH\u2019s vehicle fleet and revenue should not be discouraged; however, as market conditions change and new technologies are introduced, JBH should more closely examine how to minimize its impact on the environment. The rise of e-commerce has been accompanied with more frequent deliveries that get to customers in less time [8]. Working to meet the demands of behemoths like Amazon and Wal-Mart could lead to less efficient operations in the form of trucks that operate below capacity. To date, labor conditions have constrained this, as major trucking companies including JBH have had trouble maintaining cost-efficient work forces. In addition, increasingly strict regulations limit the hours each driver can work [4]. This has made the prospect of autonomous trucks incredibly enticing. In 2017, JBH co-founder John Roberts stated, \u201cAutonomous trucking is very real. We will be very active in testing\u201d [9]. Reliable timelines are difficult to come by, but most major car manufacturers are aiming for commercialization in the 2020-2021 time-frame [10,11]. An unlimited, cheap, and autonomous labor force is undoubtedly attractive given market conditions, but the downside isn\u2019t difficult to see either. It\u2019s easy to envision a market where trucking companies take \u201cJust-in-Time\u201d to the limit, with trucks operating constantly, oftentimes below capacity \u2013 a nightmare scenario for the environment.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Recommended Actions<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>JBH should start preparing for such changes now by developing meaningful metrics, setting goals, and working with the government to get ahead of future industry dynamics. As a first step, JBH should make and report out on GHG goals. While this will demonstrate they aren\u2019t trying to deceive the public, a more relevant number to follow is GHG emissions per unit of available capacity delivered. This metric accounts for their improvements in fuel efficiency and efficiency of their operations. It shouldn\u2019t be just a number that is tracked, but a number that drives business decisions. This could become difficult if competitors are less mindful of the environment, which is why JBH should start working with the government and the rest of the industry now on regulations that go beyond just fuel efficiency and discourage inefficient operations.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Open Questions<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>New industry conditions present an interesting dilemma. JBH could be an early adopter of autonomy and race to acquire the largest customers by potentially compromising on operational efficiency. Alternatively, it could partner externally to get ahead of the problem. Should it take on that burden or let the government assume responsibility while surging ahead with autonomous vehicle testing?<\/p>\n<p>Autonomous trucks offer an intriguing value proposition. Proponents argue they will have positive environmental effects, citing fuel-efficient driving behaviors and the ability to drive closely behind each other (drafting). If true, does that excuse any operational inefficiencies created in the name of customer convenience? In reality, modeling the eventual effect is extremely difficult, but inaction now could result in having to be reactive to environmental damage once again. Should preventative action be taken or is waiting to see the true effect more appropriate?<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>[1] Loretta Chao, \u201cJB Hunt will add to Fleet in 2017, \u201c <em>The Wall Street Journal,<\/em> November 8, 2016, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/articles\/trucker-j-b-hunt-will-add-to-fleet-in-2017-1478642837\">https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/articles\/trucker-j-b-hunt-will-add-to-fleet-in-2017-1478642837<\/a>, accessed November 2017<\/p>\n<p>[2] \u201cEPA and DOT Finalize Greenhouse Gas and Fuel Efficiency Standards for Heavy Duty Trucks,\u201d press release, August 16, 2016, on EPA website, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.epa.gov\/newsreleases\/epa-and-dot-finalize-greenhouse-gas-and-fuel-efficiency-standards-heavy-duty-trucks-0\">https:\/\/www.epa.gov\/newsreleases\/epa-and-dot-finalize-greenhouse-gas-and-fuel-efficiency-standards-heavy-duty-trucks-0<\/a>, accessed November 2017.<\/p>\n<p>[3] Peter Seligmann, \u201cWalmart: the Corporate Empire\u2019s Big Step for Sustainability,\u201d <em>The Guardian,<\/em> May 22, 2014, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/sustainable-business\/walmart-sustainability-corporate-environment-conservation-suppliers\">https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/sustainable-business\/walmart-sustainability-corporate-environment-conservation-suppliers<\/a>, accessed November 2017.<\/p>\n<p>[4] JB Hunt Transport Services, Third Quarter 2017 Earnings Report, <a href=\"https:\/\/ww2.jbhunt.com\/INET\/webcontent.nsf\/0\/E69BFCC1662645CF862581B70058EB86\/$File\/Q3%202017%20Earnings%20Release%20and%20Schedules.pdf\">https:\/\/ww2.jbhunt.com\/INET\/webcontent.nsf\/0\/E69BFCC1662645CF862581B70058EB86\/$File\/Q3%202017%20Earnings%20Release%20and%20Schedules.pdf<\/a>, accessed November 2017.<\/p>\n<p>[5] JP Hunt Transport Services, \u201cSustainable Innovations,\u201d <a href=\"http:\/\/www.jbhunt.com\/files\/Sustainable_Innovations.pdf\">http:\/\/www.jbhunt.com\/files\/Sustainable_Innovations.pdf<\/a>, accessed November 2017.<\/p>\n<p>[6] Marty Cook, \u201cJB Hunt Shareholders Vote Down Emissions Proposal,\u201d <em>Arkansas Business, <\/em>April 23, 2015, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.arkansasbusiness.com\/article\/104612\/jb-hunt-shareholders-vote-down-emissions-proposal\">http:\/\/www.arkansasbusiness.com\/article\/104612\/jb-hunt-shareholders-vote-down-emissions-proposal<\/a>, accessed November 2017.<\/p>\n<p>[7] JB Hunt Transport Services, \u201cSustainability,\u201d <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jbhunt.com\/jobs\/about\/sustainability\/\">https:\/\/www.jbhunt.com\/jobs\/about\/sustainability\/<\/a>, accessed November 2017<\/p>\n<p>[8] Hamid Moghadam, \u201cDelivery is Getting More Complex, but Will Soon Be Faster and Cheaper,\u201d <em>Fortune,<\/em> September 1, 2017, <a href=\"http:\/\/fortune.com\/2017\/09\/01\/supply-chain-manufacturing-technology\/\">http:\/\/fortune.com\/2017\/09\/01\/supply-chain-manufacturing-technology\/<\/a>, accessed November 2017.<\/p>\n<p>[9] Emma Hurt, \u201cChange ahead for JB Hunt; Logo\u2019s Not One,\u201d <em>ArkansasOnline<\/em>, July 23, 2017, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.arkansasonline.com\/news\/2017\/jul\/23\/change-ahead-for-j-b-hunt-logo-s-not-on\/?f=business-arkansas\">http:\/\/www.arkansasonline.com\/news\/2017\/jul\/23\/change-ahead-for-j-b-hunt-logo-s-not-on\/?f=business-arkansas<\/a>, accessed November 2017.<\/p>\n<p>[10] Yoko Kuboto, \u201cToyota Aims to Make Self Driving Cars by 2020,\u201d <em>The Wall Street Journal, <\/em>October 6, 2015, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/articles\/toyota-aims-to-make-self-driving-cars-by-2020-1444136396\">https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/articles\/toyota-aims-to-make-self-driving-cars-by-2020-1444136396<\/a>, accessed November 2017.<\/p>\n<p>[11] Tim Higgins, \u201cAudi Pushes Toward Fully Autonomous Cars,\u201d <em>The Wall Street Journal<\/em>, January 4, 2017, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/articles\/audi-pushes-toward-fully-autonomous-cars-1483588107\">https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/articles\/audi-pushes-toward-fully-autonomous-cars-1483588107<\/a>, accessed November 2017.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>(800 words)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>JB Hunt has made a half-hearted, regulation-mandated attempt at curbing climate change. With autonomous trucks on the horizon, is it time to get more serious?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9980,"featured_media":24138,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","template":"","categories":[1218],"class_list":["post-24137","hck-submission","type-hck-submission","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-climate-change","hck-taxonomy-organization-jb-hunt","hck-taxonomy-industry-transportation","hck-taxonomy-country-united-states"],"connected_submission_link":"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/assignment\/rc-tom-challenge-2017\/","yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Autonomous Trucks \u2013 Industry Savior or Environmental Threat? - Technology and Operations Management<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-rctom\/submission\/autonomous-trucks-industry-savior-or-environmental-threat\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Autonomous Trucks \u2013 Industry Savior or Environmental Threat? - Technology and Operations Management\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"JB Hunt has made a half-hearted, regulation-mandated attempt at curbing climate change. 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