{"id":3594,"date":"2017-02-02T18:13:26","date_gmt":"2017-02-02T23:13:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/digital.hbs.edu\/platform-digit\/submission\/pandora-how-the-wrong-business-model-can-lead-to-the-wrong-customer\/"},"modified":"2017-02-02T18:37:24","modified_gmt":"2017-02-02T23:37:24","slug":"pandora-how-the-wrong-business-model-can-lead-management-to-focus-on-the-wrong-customer","status":"publish","type":"hck-submission","link":"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-digit\/submission\/pandora-how-the-wrong-business-model-can-lead-management-to-focus-on-the-wrong-customer\/","title":{"rendered":"Pandora: How the Wrong Business Model Can Lead Management to Focus on the Wrong Customer"},"content":{"rendered":"
Over the winter break, I had the pleasure to spend a few days with my twin brother. Like all healthy sibling relationships, we don\u2019t always see eye-to-eye on issues. We do, however, share similar food preferences, and so the best debates between us occur usually over a good meal \u2013 that way, if the argument becomes too heated, we can always talk about something we agree on, \u201cthe food sure is delicious, right?\u201d<\/p>\n
One such dinner debacle we had was on whether Pandora or Spotify was a better music streaming service. A die-hard, paying Spotify user, I thought Pandora was long on its way out. After all, over the past couple years, Pandora\u2019s monthly active users (MAUs) have declined. In December 2014, Pandora reported 81.5 million MAUs while in September 2016 the company announced having only 77.9 million<\/a> MAUs.<\/p>\n Conversely, Spotify\u2019s MAUs have risen to record levels.<\/p>\n However, my brother remained unconvinced. A long-time, free-tiered Pandora listener, he stated, \u201cPandora identifies the songs that I like to listen to, and best of all, I don\u2019t pay anything for it. In the U.S., I would say Pandora is more popular than Spotify.\u201d<\/p>\n Curious, later that evening, I researched how many other individuals were like my brother and preferred Pandora over Spotify. I was surprised to find that the answer wasn\u2019t as clear-cut as I had initially thought.<\/p>\n Last year, a study by Edison Research and Triton Digital revealed that nearly twice as many people in the U.S. used Pandora over Spotify to keep up-to-date with music.<\/p>\n Additionally, earlier this month, MusicWatch reported in its 15th<\/sup> Annual Music Survey that among the approximately 14 million Amazon Echo users in 2016, Pandora was the most-listened to streaming service.<\/p>\n SO, WHY IS PANDORA LOSING?<\/strong><\/p>\n Fundamentally, Pandora is operating on a highly unsustainable business model that has yet to turn an annual profit. Of course, some may say, but Spotify also has yet to turn a profit<\/em>. The difference between the two companies, however, is that Pandora may never<\/em> turn a profit whereas, Spotify just might one day, assuming it can continue to scale.<\/p>\n To better understand why this is so, it\u2019s worth first going over several key aspects about Pandora\u2019s business model.<\/p>\n The problem with this business model is its dependence on advertising revenue to capture value for the company. In fact, Pandora has always relied on a significant portion of revenues to come from advertising.<\/p>\n Advertising dollars may create value for free-tier users by making content free, but it doesn\u2019t create much value for paid-tier users. Further, it encourages management to focus on Pandora\u2019s free-tier. After all, it would seem logical to focus on advertisements which bring in 80% of revenue and create value for 95%[i]<\/a> of customers. Right? NO!<\/p>\n Pandora\u2019s business model misses why paid-tier users are critical to the company\u2019s survival. Subscribers pay Pandora for a personalized music experience, which is driven by Pandora\u2019s technology. The fact that only 5% of Pandora active users are paid-subscribers, compared with 25%<\/a> of Spotify active users, suggests that although Pandora\u2019s technology may create enough value to keep free-tier users, it may not create enough value for them to justify Pandora\u2019s monthly subscription fee.<\/p>\n Pandora and Spotify are very different technologies. Pandora is an internet radio music service (songs are recommended to the user), while Spotify is an on-demand music service (users select their songs). If Pandora active users find Spotify\u2019s technology to be better, then Pandora\u2019s business model is bound to stay unprofitable due to switching costs. This could explain why Pandora\u2019s MAUs having been decreasing while Spotify\u2019s have been increasing.<\/p>\n <\/p>\n CONCLUSION<\/strong><\/p>\n Pandora\u2019s business model is attractive to free-tier users such as my brother, but underlying the model may not be a technology that\u2019s good enough to convert free-tier users into paying subscribers. Spotify, however, focuses on creating value for paying customers, and in doing so, is able to offer individuals an incredible app with all the music that I love whenever I want it.<\/p>\n <\/p>\n —<\/p>\n ENDNOTES:<\/strong><\/p>\n [i]<\/a> In 2015, only 3.9 million individuals were Pandora Plus subscribers, representing 5% of total active users.<\/p>\n [i]<\/a> Fewer timeouts result from being given longer listening times before a station pauses.<\/p>\n
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