  {"id":3045,"date":"2017-02-01T22:51:06","date_gmt":"2017-02-02T03:51:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/digital.hbs.edu\/platform-digit\/submission\/postmates-no-path-to-winning\/"},"modified":"2017-02-02T16:32:27","modified_gmt":"2017-02-02T21:32:27","slug":"postmates-what-service-does-it-really-deliver","status":"publish","type":"hck-submission","link":"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-digit\/submission\/postmates-what-service-does-it-really-deliver\/","title":{"rendered":"Postmates: what service does it really deliver?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Spearheading the on-demand movement<a href=\"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-digit\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2017\/02\/1.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\" wp-image-3322 alignright\" src=\"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-digit\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2017\/02\/1-300x300.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"245\" height=\"245\" srcset=\"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-digit\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2017\/02\/1-300x300.jpg 300w, https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-digit\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2017\/02\/1-150x150.jpg 150w, https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-digit\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2017\/02\/1.jpg 580w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 245px) 100vw, 245px\" \/><\/a><br \/>\n<\/strong>Postmates is an on-demand delivery service that delivers whatever you want to your front doorstep \u2013 whether it\u2019s a Chipotle burrito bowl for lunch, your prescription from Walgreens or last week\u2019s dry cleaning from your neighborhood dry cleaner. Deliveries are made by a bike courier or driver, with pricing starting at $5 for delivery.<\/p>\n<p>Postmates boasts an impressive roster of merchants on its platform, including Starbucks, McDonald\u2019s, Apple and Walgreens. While the company has yet to achieve profitability (it expects to in 2017), it\u2019s currently valued at a robust $600mm off of an estimated $200-250mm of 2016 revenue.<\/p>\n<p><strong>What value do they deliver? <\/strong><br \/>\nFirst and foremost, Postmates\u2019 value proposition is fast, reliable convenience. In being one of the earlier on-demand delivery services to launch (it was founded in 2011 ahead of competitors like DoorDash and Instacart), Postmates has built a strong brand around its \u201cunder 1 hour\u201d delivery promise and its breadth of merchant offerings. On the merchant side, Postmates offers the ability to reach a broader, more geographically diverse customer base and promises more online visibility as a merchant through Postmates\u2019 platform.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-3331 alignleft\" src=\"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-digit\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2017\/02\/3.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"513\" height=\"303\" srcset=\"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-digit\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2017\/02\/3.jpg 1522w, https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-digit\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2017\/02\/3-300x177.jpg 300w, https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-digit\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2017\/02\/3-768x454.jpg 768w, https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-digit\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2017\/02\/3-1024x606.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-digit\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2017\/02\/3-600x355.jpg 600w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 513px) 100vw, 513px\" \/>Postmates primarily monetizes its business model on the customer side, by charging a delivery fee (80% of which goes to the delivery person) and a 9% convenience fee. It recently launched a $9.99 \/ month \u201cPlus Unlimited\u201d subscription plan (unlimited for orders over $30) as a way to increase customer loyalty and to compete with subscription offerings from Amazon Prime and the like.<\/p>\n<p>It also monetizes its merchant side by charging a 15-30% commission from certain merchants in its Merchant Partner program. On the cost side, Postmates is able to receive some bulk discounts on certain orders.<\/p>\n<p>In billing themselves as a logistics company, Postmates is relying on its logistical know-how to appropriately and efficiently match customers, merchants and delivery people on the back-end of their platform.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Why it all won\u2019t last \u2013 logistics, logistics, logistics (also, data)<br \/>\n<\/strong>The reality is that delivery services operate in a winner-takes-all market within each city \u2013 network effects will prevail as the company with the most market share will be able to deliver the best service. Customer loyalty is difficult to achieve in a market where the offerings are largely the same and switching costs are low; customer convergence is inevitable as it becomes a race to achieve the lowest cost. Margins will continue to get squeezed as merchants show up on multiple delivery services. The winner will be the one with the most customer and merchant touch points, and thus, the best logistics platform.<\/p>\n<p>While Postmates has done a decent job of slowly building up its logistics capabilities, there are much larger players that are better equipped for this herculean task. Uber has the largest network of drivers in the U.S. and is well-positioned to utilize its excess capacity on its huge asset base with delivery services, which they have already begun testing out with UberEats and UberRush. \u00a0Uber\u2019s heavy investment in autonomous vehicles \u2013 which will allow for even more efficient and optimized demand and supply matching \u2013 will further give it an incredible advantage in building out the biggest and best logistics platform.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><strong>Uber&#8217;s sprawling logistics network<\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-digit\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2017\/02\/6.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\" wp-image-3361 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-digit\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2017\/02\/6.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"604\" height=\"313\" srcset=\"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-digit\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2017\/02\/6.png 1075w, https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-digit\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2017\/02\/6-300x155.png 300w, https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-digit\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2017\/02\/6-768x398.png 768w, https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-digit\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2017\/02\/6-1024x531.png 1024w, https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-digit\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2017\/02\/6-600x311.png 600w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 604px) 100vw, 604px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Amazon is another formidable company that can easily enter the space to directly compete with Postmates. With its same-day delivery capabilities and its foray into grocery delivery through AmazonFresh, Amazon has the customer base, scale and capital to effectively compete in a more localized delivery market alongside Postmates.<\/p>\n<p>Even beyond these obvious behemoths, Postmates faces fierce competition from Grubhub, Instacart, DoorDash, and many more local delivery companies. While there is some \u201cproduct\u201d differentiation currently (in that Instacart focuses on groceries and Grubhub focuses on restaurants), it is only a matter of time until the offerings converge and the delivery service becomes largely commoditized and unit economics get squeezed. Is a 9% convenience fee in a rapidly commoditizing market defensible? Unlikely.<\/p>\n<p>Much like the growing importance of data for GE and Samsung, it\u2019s all about logistics (and ultimately, data from those logistics) for the on-demand delivery service industry. Postmates operates in a challenging industry with head-on competition from both logistics giants\u00a0and undifferentiated local competitors. In the world of logistics, scale (and the deep pockets to achieve that scale) really does matter.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>References:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/about.postmates.com\/\">https:\/\/about.postmates.com\/<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/nextjuggernaut.com\/blog\/postmates-business-model-revenue-how-postmates-works\/\">http:\/\/nextjuggernaut.com\/blog\/postmates-business-model-revenue-how-postmates-works\/<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/nextjuggernaut.com\/blog\/postmates-new-subscription-plans-business-model-free-delivery\/\">http:\/\/nextjuggernaut.com\/blog\/postmates-new-subscription-plans-business-model-free-delivery\/<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.zoplay.com\/how-postmates-works-postmates-business-model\/\">https:\/\/www.zoplay.com\/how-postmates-works-postmates-business-model\/<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/techcrunch.com\/2016\/04\/25\/leaked-postmates-financials-suggest-company-might-be-doing-better-than-everyone-thought\/\">https:\/\/techcrunch.com\/2016\/04\/25\/leaked-postmates-financials-suggest-company-might-be-doing-better-than-everyone-thought\/<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Dear Postmates, you\u2019ve had a good run, but it\u2019s time to make way for Uber.  <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1019,"featured_media":3340,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","template":"","categories":[102],"class_list":["post-3045","hck-submission","type-hck-submission","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-loser"],"connected_submission_link":"https:\/\/d3.harvard.edu\/platform-digit\/assignment\/digital-winners-losers\/","yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Postmates: what service does it really deliver? 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